Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)

4.4 4259 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.11
+18.97%
Last month
$ 0.22
+46.81%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.62
-6.06%
In a quarter
$ 0.58
-12.12%
In half a year
$ 0.61
-7.58%
In a year
$ 0.69
+4.55%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
316 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Toy Soldier inspecting Nova | Toy Soldier reloading Nova | Toy Soldier holding Nova | Toy Soldier pose-1 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-2 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.69
  • 24h price change: 4.55%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.58
  • 7 days high: $ 450
  • 7 days price change: 18.97%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.47
  • 30 days high: $ 450
  • 30 days price change: 46.81%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.41
  • 90 days high: $ 450
  • Year low: $ 0.41
  • Year high: $ 450
  • All time low: $ 0.29
  • All time high: $ 450
  • All time max offers: 539
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 26
  • Sales for last 7 days: 236
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1046
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2074
  • All time sales: 6173
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2121
  • Volatility: 24.25%
  • Liquidity: 6.43%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.62
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.06%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.12%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.61
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -7.58%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.69
  • Price forecast change in a year: 4.55%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.57
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
15.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.57
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.45
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.51
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.51
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.57
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
15.79%
Result
👍 Success
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.66
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.09
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.57
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

Nova | Toy Soldier-Well-Worn: A more wallet-friendly option for teams on the tighter budget scale. Surprise opponents when battling at close quarters. The nostalgic green paint job remembers when we were kids, and a high pellet count serves up a barrage of firepower to foes.

History

History

Nova | Toy Soldier, the battle-scarred variant, was initially presented to the CS2 community on August 1st, 2018, simultaneously with the "A New Horizon" update and the release of the Horizon Case. For this skin, the highly talented community designer "hexeth" worked it just right to give it that feel of a worn toy soldier.

Origin

Origin

This skin, The Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn), hardly drops from a Horizon Case container with various finishes of weapons. This is one of the items in the exclusive Horizon Collection, which features an array of futuristic and vibrant designs for several CS2 weapons.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) skin keeps a popularity of 85%, which positions this skin in the top 15% of items in CS2. This assessment is done based on both high daily sales volume and a high average market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The well-worn Nova is one of the 134 shotgun skins available for CS: GO. With a rarity classification of Restricted, this skin is rather rare, and the estimated drop chance for this model is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The well-worn version of the Nova | Toy Soldier for CS2 costs between $0.32 to $7.33, hence it is pretty cheap. Besides that, this skin is not a problem to get at one or another market; players can get it without further problems. The number of the Nova | Toy Soldier Skin in public CS2 inventories currently stands at 391.2K units.

Versions

Versions

Float Value is in a range of 0.38-0.45, which makes it well-worn on average, but still allows the scratches and wear marks to show atop the finish. There is also a StatTrak Variant of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) available in all types of exterior, allowing players who own this skin to see and keep track of their kill count.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community loves the skin of Nova | Toy Soldier for CS: GO-4.2K+ votes with an average rating of 4.4/5 stars on addskins.gg. It is so popular that even professional players such as nex, sjuush, and raalz have been proud owners of this skin and use it in their gameplay.

Finish style

Finish style

This Nova has received a "Custom Paint Job" style, which is showcased in the Toy Soldier finish, colored in bright green. The skin showcases a range of colors that can be achieved, while pattern indexes have no effect on the Toy Soldier design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.62 (-6.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.58 (-12.12%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.61 (-7.58%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.69 (4.55%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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