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21 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Nova | Walnut (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Nova | Walnut (Factory New) is a rather cheap shotgun, excelling in surprise attacks to suit very poor teams. It features an elegant figured walnut stock that adds class to the battlefield while serving out deadly firepower at close range.
This skin, as well as all the other weapons from the "The Arms Deal" update, which had brought more than a hundred new skins into the game, was first shown in the CS2 community on August 14th, 2013. Nova | Walnut (Factory New) was added to the Boston 2018 Inferno Souvenir Package.
The Factory New version of Nova | Walnut is a rare CS2 skin and can be acquired by opening one of eight containers, which house this design. Among them are such containers as Boston 2018 Inferno Souvenir Package, DreamHack 2014 Inferno Souvenir Package, and DreamHack Cluj-Napoca 2015 Inferno Souvenir Package. Also, it belongs to the special collection of the game, namely the Inferno Collection, adding rarity value for both collectors and players.
The Nova | Walnut (Factory New) is popular and has acquired a popularity of 75%, putting this skin in the top 25% of the most popular items in CS2. This high demand is determined through the skin's frequent sales and its price being relatively higher compared to other skins in the market.
The Nova | Walnut (Factory New) is one of the 134 skins available in CS2 for shotguns. Being Consumer Grade in rarity, it's one of the fairly common things you see in CS2; pretty easy to acquire by players.
The price of the Nova | Walnut skin is rather low, ranging between $0.61 and $14.56. As it's one of the most widely available skins in CS2 markets, there are currently around 215.4K units in public CS2 inventories.
Moreover, the float value of this particular skin in CS2 ranges from an impressive 0.06 to a slightly worn 0.80, meaning players can enjoy the skin in a number of different conditions. Additionally, collectors will find it possible to pursue Souvenir Walnut versions in all the exterior types to further expand the options for this elegantly crafted firearm.
The skin attracted quite a lot of attention in the community, having a large amount of votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by ownership from popular professional CS2 players like olofmeister, spunj, and neo.
The skin quality for this particular finish is considered "Custom Paint Job," and it offers a wide palette of colors for an extremely personalized look and feel. As stated, the primary color of Walnut is rich brown, and since the pattern indexes do not change anything on it, this skin presents itself fully brown and premium.
According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Walnut (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 25.77 (-2.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 17.8 (-32.83%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 22.45 (-15.28%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 28.15 (6.23%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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