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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Nova | Wood Fired first appeared in the CS2 community on December 6th, 2018, when the Danger Zone Case was announced in the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This elaborately designed skin was made by a talented community artist named "XAKI".
The Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is a skin for the Nova shotgun in CS2, opening from the Danger Zone Case container. This skin belongs to the exclusive Danger Zone Collection: it shares worn wooden texture with touches of fire on this weapon.
The Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is one of the most coveted skins among the CS2 community, with popularity rated at 85%. Thus, it falls into the top 15% of the most wanted items in CS2, adding to the sales volume and, subsequently, price.
The Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins in the shotgun class of CS2. Being of Mil-Spec Grade, it is rather common, dropping at an estimated 79.92%, and thus has very frequently dropped to players.
Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is economically available, as the price range is from $0.04 to $0.55, making it super cheap and accessible for players. Its wide availability across markets ensures interested buyers can easily get it. As is evident from the 1.9 million units present in public CS2 inventories, the Wood Fired is a popular choice among players.
Float Range: The float range of the Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) in CS2 is from 0.30 to 0.45. This means the skin has a worn look and can be recognized by noticeable scratches and a slightly faded wood texture. Moreover, for the Well-Worn exterior, there is an available StatTrak version, allowing the tracking of kills achieved by a player with this specific skin.
The Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 enjoys good backing within the community, with over 2.9K votes on addskins.gg and an excellent average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. In fact, it is well-renowned even among professional players, being proudly owned by the famous CS2 players guardian, fnx, and flamie.
This Nova is masterfully crafted in a "Gunsmith" style, featuring the Wood Fired finish, a true-to-form mix of patina and custom paint. The finish of Wood Fired remains consistent regardless of pattern index, featuring a realistic and captivating look.
According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Wood Fired (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.126 (-21.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.118 (-26.13%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.15 (-6.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.276 (72.37%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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