Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New)

4.8 3076 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.13
+4.68%
Last month
$ 1.11
+61.67%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.8
-38.14%
In a quarter
$ 4.75
+63.23%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
49% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
251 offers on 7 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 2.91
White.Market
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from $ 3.04
ShadowPay
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from $ 3.11
Waxpeer
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from $ 3.63
Steam
Steam
84 offers
from $ 4.05
Skinport
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21 offers
from $ 5.04
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
18 offers
from $ 5.5
Inspect skin
Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Wurst Hölle inspecting Nova | Wurst Hölle reloading Nova | Wurst Hölle holding Nova | Wurst Hölle pose-1 Nova | Wurst Hölle pose-2 Nova | Wurst Hölle pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.91
  • 7 days low: $ 2.78
  • 7 days high: $ 39.42
  • 7 days price change: 4.68%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.8
  • 30 days high: $ 39.81
  • 30 days price change: 61.67%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.34
  • 90 days high: $ 46.86
  • Year low: $ 1.05
  • Year high: $ 239
  • All time low: $ 1.05
  • All time high: $ 239
  • All time max offers: 308
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 36
  • Sales for last 7 days: 289
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1345
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3132
  • All time sales: 9722
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 1.25
  • Volatility: 11.84%
  • Liquidity: 35.74%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.8
  • Price forecast change in a month: -38.14%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.75
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 63.23%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.62
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.62
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.15
-9.26%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.46
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.87
34.80%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.91
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.62
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.62
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.15
-9.26%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.46
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.48
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.61
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.02
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.67
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.87
34.80%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.91
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.91
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.72
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.03
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
49%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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Description

The Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) is a budget-friendly shotgun perfect for aggressive plays and close-quarters combat. Its unique design features a custom paint job using sausages from the renowned biergarten, Wurst Hölle, adding a touch of whimsy to your arsenal.

History

History

The Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) was first introduced to CS2 6 years ago, on September 15th, 2016. It was released as part of the "Operation Wildfire" update.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) skin is not available through regular container openings but is part of The Overpass 2024 Collection. Players can acquire this skin by purchasing or trading for it in the Steam Community Market or from other players.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity rating of 85%, the Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) is highly sought after among CS2 players, solidifying its position as a top choice for weapon skins. This rating is determined by analyzing its consistent demand in the market and its stable pricing.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Wurst Hölle is one of 142 Shotgun skins available in CS2. This skin is classified as Mil-Spec Grade, indicating its commonality with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.77 and $1.90, the Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) skin offers an affordable option for CS2 players. This skin is readily available across various markets, making it easily accessible to those looking to enhance their in-game arsenal.

Versions

Versions

The Nova | Wurst Hölle in Factory New condition boasts a pristine appearance with no visible wear, making it highly sought after by collectors. This skin is not available in StatTrak or Souvenir versions, maintaining its exclusivity in the CS2 marketplace.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) skin in CS2 has garnered significant community approval, with over 3076 votes on addskins resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Additionally, professional players like flamie, snyper, and nafany have added this skin to their collections, further solidifying its popularity among competitive gamers.

Finish style

Finish style

This Nova showcases the Wurst Hölle finish, featuring a fiery red and black color scheme reminiscent of a hellish inferno. The finish gives the weapon a menacing and intense appearance, perfect for those looking to strike fear into their opponents on the battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Wurst Hölle (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.8 (-38.14%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.75 (63.23%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

1.0
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.