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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Patch | Black Mesa are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Patch | Black Mesa was launched for the first time in CS2 on March 22nd, 2020, as part of a major update. It has been included in the Half-Life: Alyx Patch Pack, which introduced the update titled "Half-Life: Alyx Items," combining the iconic universe of Black Mesa into the world of Counter-Strike.
The Patch | Black Mesa is a CS2 rare cosmetic and a tribute to the main facility of Half-Life: Black Mesa Research Facility. It is accessible only by opening the container from Half-Life: Alyx Patch Pack and doesn't belong to collections, adding a note of nostalgia.
With a staggering popularity of 85%, the Patch | Black Mesa has become an immensely sought-after item in the CS2 community. Its high demand is evident through its consistent daily sales volume and the premium price it commands.
The Patch | Black Mesa is one of the 112 different Patch items; therefore, it is relatively rare to find in CS2. It has a rarity level of Remarkable and an approximate drop chance of 15.98%; its collection is quite rare and searched for by collectors.
At $0.82, the Patch | Black Mesa remains one of the more affordable ways for CS2 players to build up their inventory. Thankfully, this popular patch is easy to get one's hands on and can be readily purchased through online stores and marketplaces.
Patch | Black Mesa of CS2 has an extremely positive community sentiment, with more than 2.8K votes on addskins.gg and a very high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, which indicates that players are actually satisfied with the patch and how it influences the game.
According to the forecast, the price of the Patch | Black Mesa is expected fall down to $ 0.94 (-5.05%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.93 (-6.06%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1 (1.01%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.92 (93.94%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
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