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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Patch | Metal Gold Nova are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Patch | Metal Gold Nova was added to CS2's cosmetic inventory on December 3rd, 2020, as a part of the Metal Skill Group Patch Collection. It made its debut alongside the "Operation Broken Fang" update, offering players a stylish way to showcase their Gold Nova rank.
The Patch | Metal Gold Nova can be earned by opening the Metal Skill Group Patch Collection container. The Metal Skill Group Patch Collection contains a wide variety of skill group patches that represent the different ranks in CS2. However, this one and all the other patches in the collection do not join any collections.
Thus, currently, at a popularity of 50%, Patch | Metal Gold Nova is one of the hot items in CS2 because it is bought and sold daily. The price is so high because it is in demand all over the place for players who desire to have it in their collection.
The Patch | Metal Gold Nova is one of 112 other Patch items, making it a relatively more rare find within CS2. For one thing, with a drop chance of approximately 15.98%, getting the Metal Gold Nova can be deemed a remarkable feat.
The fact that the Patch | Metal Gold Nova is only $0.88 makes it a very inexpensive choice for CS2 fans. Thankfully, this popular skin is easy to obtain since it is buyable from multiple markets, which means it's always in healthy supply.
Patch | Metal Gold Nova has been supported enough in the community, receiving more than 1.3K votes on addskins.gg with a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Further confirmation of its popularity is that professional CS2 player dexter owns it, which makes the skin much more desirable among players.
According to the forecast, the price of the Patch | Metal Gold Nova is expected fall down to $ 1.7 (-5.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.48 (-17.32%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 1.76 (-1.68%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3.71 (107.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
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