Patch | Vigilance

4.7 8850 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.03
+5.66%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.59
+5.36%
In a quarter
$ 0.57
+1.79%
In half a year
$ 0.58
+3.57%
In a year
$ 1.07
+91.07%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
70% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
89 offers on 7 markets
Updated8 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
Patch | Vigilance
Gallery
Patch | Vigilance pose-1 Patch | Vigilance pose-2 Patch | Vigilance pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.56
  • 7 days low: $ 0.56
  • 7 days high: $ 3.43
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.53
  • 30 days high: $ 7.4
  • 30 days price change: 5.66%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.43
  • 90 days high: $ 7.4
  • Year low: $ 0.32
  • Year high: $ 10.54
  • All time low: $ 0.305
  • All time high: $ 22.88
  • All time max offers: 43207
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 32
  • Sales for last 7 days: 190
  • Sales for last 30 days: 777
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1859
  • All time sales: 4889
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2609
  • Volatility: 100.0%
  • Liquidity: 1.62%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.59
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.57
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.79%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.58
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.57%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.07
  • Price forecast change in a year: 91.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Patch | Vigilance are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.5
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.065
13.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.5
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.51
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.51
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.436
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.44
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.48
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.46
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.46
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.065
13.00%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.64
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.61
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.065
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.5
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

Patch | Vigilance was initially introduced to CS2 on February 24th, 2020, as a key component of the highly anticipated CS2 Patch Pack. This update not only brought the Patch | Vigilance skin but also included various enhancements and bug fixes to enhance the overall gameplay experience.

Origin

Origin

The Patch | Vigilance is a very rare cosmetic item that can be obtained by opening a container of CS2 Patch Pack, which includes a bunch of patches of various designs. As opposed to other patches, the patch Vigilance doesn't be part of a collection, which makes it really unique and looked-for among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Patch | Vigilance gained quite a lot of popularity in the CS2 community and received a high 60% popularity rating. The ratings are gathered from analytical data regarding the item's daily sales volume and its price, showing just how appealing it is to players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Patch | Vigilance is a part of the 112 items in the Patch collection available within CS2. This skin has a rarity level of Remarkable, meaning that it relatively rarely drops, with an estimated chance of pulling at 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of this skin is only $0.34, which makes the Patch | Vigilance an affordable skin for CS2 fans. It is widely available in most markets, hence easily accessible.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general mood of the community towards Patch | Vigilance for CS2 is very positive; on addskins.gg, more than 2.1K votes brought about an astonishing average of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further solidified by the fact that professional CS2 players, such as rallen and ethan, also own this item.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Patch | Vigilance is expected grow to $ 0.59 (5.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.57 (1.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.58 (3.57%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.07 (91.07%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Containers

Pro Players