Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow)

4.5 1583 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+0.62%
Last month
$ 0.05
+0.62%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 8.01
-2.32%
In a quarter
$ 9.45
+15.24%
In half a year
$ 10.32
+25.85%
In a year
$ 13.81
+68.41%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
81% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
67% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3 offers on 2 markets
Updated10 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 8.2
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 10
Inspect skin
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow)
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.1
  • 7 days low: $ 8.05
  • 7 days high: $ 10
  • 7 days price change: 0.62%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.05
  • 30 days high: $ 10
  • 30 days price change: 0.62%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.34
  • 90 days high: $ 12.62
  • Year low: $ 5
  • Year high: $ 250
  • All time low: $ 3
  • All time high: $ 250
  • All time max offers: 37004
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6
  • All time sales: 10
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4187
  • Volatility: 100.0%
  • Liquidity: 0.04%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 8.01
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.32%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.45
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 15.24%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 10.32
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 25.85%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.81
  • Price forecast change in a year: 68.41%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.27
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.13
-1.57%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
1.12%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.34
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.16
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.82
11.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.15
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.27
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 8.21
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.13
-1.57%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 8
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
1.12%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.34
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.16
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.82
11.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.15
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 8.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.23
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.21
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.36
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.47
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.07
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.78
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 23.61
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
2
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
67%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) was introduced into the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on December 3rd, 2020, with the CS2 Graffiti #3 Collection. It has been released with the "Operation Broken Fang" update along with this unique, colored graffiti on the UMP-45 weapon.

Origin

Origin

Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) Graffiti design is considered extremely rare to drop, as an unsealed version can only come with an opened container for a CS2 Graffiti #3 Collection that comes out for players in order for them to put the decals onto their in-game weapon, for further usage. So basically, what that gives is that with its luminous yellow trace color and recoiling UMP-45 SMG provides a fresh accent of personality to the originality.

Popularity

Popularity

The Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) is relatively popular, with a popularity of 35% in CS2, meaning this skin is not too popular. Based on the daily sales volume and price of the skin, today this assessment can be considered to be quite close to reality and likely to be worse compared to other graffiti options.

Rarity

Rarity

The Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) is a relatively common drop and one of the 382 Graffiti items in CS2. This skin belongs to the Base Grade, which makes it rather not rare and widely encountered during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) is a budget-friendly item, with prices ranging from $1.79 to $29.02, making it accessible to a wide range of players. Moreover, it is currently abundantly stocked and easily obtainable through various marketplaces, ensuring that players can easily add it to their CS2 inventory.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) for CS2 is pretty good, with over 1.4K votes on addskins.gg, giving it an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. This skin is highly appreciated by players as it adds a bright yellow tracer effect to their UMP-45 weapon, which is very popular among the community.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Tracer Yellow) is expected fall down to $ 8.01 (-2.32%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 9.45 (15.24%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 10.32 (25.85%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.81 (68.41%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary