SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)

4.4 1928 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.91
+22.36%
Last month
$ 1.08
+27.69%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.92
-10.71%
In a quarter
$ 3.89
-11.39%
In half a year
$ 4.3
-2.05%
In a year
$ 8.08
+84.05%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
64 offers on 7 markets
Updated10 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
6 offers
from $ 4.98
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 5.03
White.Market
White.Market
11 offers
from $ 5.15
Steam
Steam
29 offers
from $ 5.3
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
10 offers
from $ 5.31
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 5.52
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 5.83
Inspect skin
SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New)
Gallery
SG 553 | Fallout Warning inspecting SG 553 | Fallout Warning reloading SG 553 | Fallout Warning holding SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-1 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-2 SG 553 | Fallout Warning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.98
  • 24h price change: 13.44%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.07
  • 7 days high: $ 52.7
  • 7 days price change: 22.36%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.9
  • 30 days high: $ 52.7
  • 30 days price change: 27.69%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.68
  • 90 days high: $ 52.7
  • Year low: $ 2.19
  • Year high: $ 464
  • All time low: $ 1.56
  • All time high: $ 464
  • All time max offers: 114
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 50
  • Sales for last 30 days: 166
  • Sales for last 90 days: 394
  • All time sales: 1019
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.11
  • Volatility: 18.7%
  • Liquidity: 11.67%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.92
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.71%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.89
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -11.39%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.3
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -2.05%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 8.08
  • Price forecast change in a year: 84.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.28
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.03
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.93
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.9
29.70%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.88
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.69
17.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.36
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.16
26.61%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.75
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.28
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.03
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.29
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.87
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.91
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.93
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.9
29.70%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.99
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.88
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.57
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.69
17.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.36
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.36
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.16
26.61%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.75
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 4.07
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.75
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 16.02
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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In a year 90%
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Field-Tested
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745 offers on 9 markets
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In a year 100%
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Minimal Wear
$ 0.28
47%
From last month
263 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7921
In a year 134%
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Well-Worn
4.6 2256
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Aloha
4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
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Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
181%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
SG 553 | Aloha
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Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
843 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
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Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1664 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
Aloha
Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
629 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2341
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
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SG 553
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Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
308 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.52
45%
From last week
362 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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Army Sheen
4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
10456 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
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SG 553
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.6 2972
SG 553 | Atlas
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Description

The SG553 | Fallout Warning is a high-end scoped rifle exclusive to the terrorists, offering better accuracy and range than the AK47. It has a sleek design further complemented by a spray-painted radiological warning hazard pattern, adding danger to the looks.

History

History

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning was presented in the CS2 community for the first time on August 13th, 2014, during the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package release. This skin came out together with the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update and added a post-apocalyptic note to the game.

Origin

Origin

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning is one of the most popular skins in CS2, which can be obtained by opening one of the 12 containers that contain the skin, including Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package. This skin is also part of The Cache Collection, which makes it even more exclusive and desirable for collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) holds a high popularity among players, with a rating of 75%. This is very good and places it within the top tier of most popular items in CS2. It means this is a highly desirable skin to have and a pleasure for the eyes. Popularity is determined through analysis of skin sales volume per day, along with its price. This serves as a good indication of its standing within the community.

Rarity

Rarity

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning is a skin from the 255 rifle skins existing in CS2. The skin has an Industrial Grade rarity, which makes it a common skin and one of the most frequent ones in the game.

Availability

Availability

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) skin for CS2 is both affordable and easily accessible, with prices ranging from $0.55 to $8.59. It is widely available on various markets, and there are currently 162.9K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for SG 553 | Fallout Warning Factory New is from 0.00 to 0.80, making a really big gap in wear levels of this particular skin. Also, a collector will be able to find the Souvenir version of Fallout Warning for every exterior; that form makes this item highly desirable.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The SG 553 | Fallout Warning has gained overwhelmingly positive feedback within the CS2 community, with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg, having an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional players such as fallen, apex, and nbk-, who proudly own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

Factory New SG 553 | Fallout Warning has a realistic "Spray-Paint" pattern created with multiple thin coats in a pattern of stencils. The main tone of red adds a certain intense touch to the look of this gun, and a peculiar feel to this skin comes from the pattern index of its application.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the SG 553 | Fallout Warning (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.92 (-10.71%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.89 (-11.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.3 (-2.05%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 8.08 (84.05%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.