SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New)

4.8 1444 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 19
+7.51%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 342
+1.15%
In a quarter
$ 293
-13.34%
In half a year
$ 303
-10.39%
In a year
$ 456
+34.86%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
35 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New)
Gallery
SG 553 | Hazard Pay inspecting SG 553 | Hazard Pay reloading SG 553 | Hazard Pay holding SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-1 SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-2 SG 553 | Hazard Pay pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 272
  • 7 days low: $ 272
  • 7 days high: $ 1 157
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 253
  • 30 days high: $ 3 255
  • 30 days price change: 7.51%
  • 90 days low: $ 215
  • 90 days high: $ 3 255
  • Year low: $ 193
  • Year high: $ 3 255
  • All time low: $ 184
  • All time high: $ 3 255
  • All time max offers: 59
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 10
  • Sales for last 90 days: 18
  • All time sales: 43
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.00564921
  • Volatility: 7.26%
  • Liquidity: 4.77%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 342
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.15%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 293
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -13.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 303
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -10.39%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 456
  • Price forecast change in a year: 34.86%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 243
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 243
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 280
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 36.55
15.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 256
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 256
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 264
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.65
2.99%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 319
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 375
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 278
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 278
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 411
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 234
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 220
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 243
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 243
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 236
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 242
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 280
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 36.55
15.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 256
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 256
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 264
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 7.65
2.99%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 319
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 359
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 375
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 278
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 278
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 411
Action
✋ Hold
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 44.2
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 777
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2222
3737
3030
119119
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 30
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 545
  • Movement speed: 210
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 7838
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
4.7 7987
In a year 90%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Battle-Scarred
4.7 7999
In a year 109%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Factory New
$ 0.54
39%
From last month
415 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7933
In a year 124%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Field-Tested
$ 0.25
47%
From last month
745 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7841
In a year 100%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Minimal Wear
$ 0.28
47%
From last month
262 offers on 9 markets
4.7 7921
In a year 134%
SG 553 | Aerial
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aerial
Well-Worn
4.6 2256
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
4.6 2337
In a quarter -36%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
181%
From last month
110 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2272
In a year 46%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Factory New
$ 0.38
46%
From last month
851 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2357
In a year 34%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Field-Tested
$ 0.12
50%
From last month
1665 offers on 9 markets
4.6 2239
In a year 39%
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Minimal Wear
$ 0.15
40%
From last month
630 offers on 8 markets
4.6 2341
SG 553 | Aloha
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Aloha
Well-Worn
$ 0.1
43%
From last month
308 offers on 9 markets
$ 1.52
46%
From last week
364 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7233
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
4.5 7209
In a year 130%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.07
159%
From last week
10462 offers on 9 markets
4.5 7121
In a year 269%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
4.5 7203
In a year 225%
SG 553 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
SG 553
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.6 2972
SG 553 | Atlas
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
SG 553
Atlas

Description

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay Factory New is a slick and deadly terrorist favorite, offering precise long-range capabilities as an alternative to the AK47. The vibrant yellow and traffic cone orange accents are a bold statement, reminding players to embrace risk and take calculated shots with every bullet.

History

History

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay was the first appearance of the SG 553 in competitive CS2 on September 21st, 2021, as a new skin. Its hazardously colored skin immediately won the players' love for its eye-catching hazard markings combined with its sleek design. It initially appeared as a part of the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package released together with the big "Operation Riptide" update, which totally changed the in-game performance in many aspects.

Origin

Origin

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay is a Factory New skin for CS2 and one of the rarest drops, which can be obtained by opening one of the four containers that contain the skin: Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Vertigo Collection. This highly sought-after skin gives players a chance to add it to their collection through these exclusive containers.

Popularity

Popularity

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) enjoys a staggering popularity of 90% in the CS2 community, solidifying its position as one of the most sought-after items. This high demand is attributed to its exceptional daily sales volume and the premium price it commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is one of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2. This skin is classified as "Classified," meaning it is very rare and has an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, making it highly sought after by collectors and players alike.

Availability

Availability

The Skin "SG 553 | Hazard Pay Factory New" is relatively cheap, since the price on this particular market ranges around $88.00 and $2,635.37. In fact, this knife is actually easy to get because this skin is available on many different markets. More importantly, there is an enormous number of around 3,000 units of the "Hazard Pay" within public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the SG 553 | Hazard Pay in Factory New ranges from a perfect 0.00 to an impressive 0.48, making this striking skin available in every one of its glorious exteriors. Moreover, for collectors, there is a Souvenir version of the Hazard Pay for each exterior, giving this highly sought-after skin even more exclusivity.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the SG 553 | Hazard Pay Factory New for CS2 is very positive, as more than 1.4K votes on addskins.gg have given it an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. The skin is in pristine condition, and its striking design has wowed players to make it one of the most desired skins in the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New SG 553 features a striking "Hazard Pay" finish, a style of custom paint job that allows for a wide array of vibrant colors. The dominant hue of this skin is a bright yellow tint that is present in all pattern variations.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the SG 553 | Hazard Pay (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 342 (1.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 293 (-13.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 303 (-10.39%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 456 (34.86%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.48
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.