Shadow Case Key

4.5 9225 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.1
+0.96%
Last month
$ 1.6
+17.96%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.69
+1.52%
In a quarter
$ 11.7
+11.11%
In half a year
$ 13.12
+24.6%
In a year
$ 19.44
+84.62%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
124 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Shadow Case Key
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 10.51
  • 24h price change: 0.0952%
  • 7 days low: $ 10.41
  • 7 days high: $ 28.1
  • 7 days price change: 0.96%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.91
  • 30 days high: $ 153
  • 30 days price change: 17.96%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.91
  • 90 days high: $ 153
  • Year low: $ 7.74
  • Year high: $ 153
  • All time low: $ 7
  • All time high: $ 153
  • All time max offers: 6865
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 56
  • Sales for last 30 days: 147
  • Sales for last 90 days: 293
  • All time sales: 1334
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.6
  • Volatility: 76.83%
  • Liquidity: 3.83%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.69
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.52%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 11.7
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 11.11%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 13.12
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 24.6%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 19.44
  • Price forecast change in a year: 84.62%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Shadow Case Key are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 12.29
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.53
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.29
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 12.39
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 12.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 12.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.74
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.53
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.57
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.56
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.97
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.73
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 11.36
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 11.36
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.91
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 10.5
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 12.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The Shadow Case Key was first introduced to CS2 on September 17th, 2015, in an update titled "Shadow Boxing," which tried to bring new excitement to players by adding a unique case with exclusive weapon skins. Since its release, the Shadow Case Key has become a sought-after item among players, unlocking the mysterious and captivating Shadow Case, containing a variety of visually striking and highly coveted weapon finishes.

Origin

Origin

Being an extremely rare and elusive thing in CS2, the Shadow Case Key can't be obtained by opening any container. It does not belong to any collections, which makes it highly demanded by collectors and traders.

Popularity

Popularity

The Shadow Case Key enjoys a very healthy popularity rating at 75%, making it one of the most popular items in CS2. It outstands because its calculation is based on the volume of sales it has in a day and the market price it holds, hence being one of the highly demanded virtual assets within the gaming community.

Rarity

Rarity

The Shadow Case Key is one of 36 other Key items, so this would make it a relatively common in-game item. It's rated as Base Grade in terms of rarity, making player encounters with the Shadow Case Key quite frequent in CS2.

Availability

Availability

The Shadow Case Key is actually moderately affordable, given that it's priced at $10.50, for players of CS2. Fortunately, it is currently in abundant supply and can be accessed from several markets, so players have a great chance of getting it.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

This key has a huge community appeal for CS2; it has over 8.6K votes on addskins.gg and an amazing average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by the fact that pro players shox and zeus are proud owners of this item.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Shadow Case Key is expected grow to $ 10.69 (1.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 11.7 (11.11%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 13.12 (24.6%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 19.44 (84.62%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

  • Game: CS2/CS:GO
  • Category: Key
  • Designer: Valve
  • Update: Shadow Boxing
  • Released: September 17, 2015

Pro Players