★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New)

2.9 7549 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 256
+16.36%
In a quarter
$ 250
+13.63%
In half a year
$ 244
+10.9%
In a year
$ 360
+63.63%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
57% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
34% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
17 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
7 offers
from $ 216
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 229
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 231
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 290
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 340
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 388
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 436
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 513
Inspect skin
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened holding ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 216
  • 7 days low: $ 216
  • 7 days high: $ 487
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 216
  • 30 days high: $ 591
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 216
  • 90 days high: $ 591
  • Year low: $ 148
  • Year high: $ 591
  • All time low: $ 148
  • All time high: $ 591
  • All time max offers: 70
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 10
  • Sales for last 90 days: 20
  • All time sales: 43
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.68
  • Volatility: 8.88%
  • Liquidity: 3.96%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 256
  • Price forecast change in a month: 16.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 250
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 13.63%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 244
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.9%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 360
  • Price forecast change in a year: 63.63%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 209
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1
-0.47846900%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 304
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 247
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.18
4.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 258
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 256
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.83
-0.71%
Result
👎 Fail
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 259
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 263
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 263
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 266
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 209
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1
-0.47846900%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 304
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 247
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.18
4.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 258
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 256
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.83
-0.71%
Result
👎 Fail
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 259
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 263
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 263
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 254
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 7.35
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 978
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
1
Fail count
2

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
57%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
34%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 67.64
66%
From last month
73 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The first appearance of ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened in CS2 was on September 17th, 2015, when the Shadow Case came out. Due to its unique blue-gold case-hardened pattern, it gained the attention of players right away and immediately became one of the most wanted items in the game.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened can be obtained by opening a Shadow Case container; players of the game may also receive this Factory New skin. It does not actually come within any collections in the game, which is really rare and in demand among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

This is because the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New) is very popular and enjoys a popularity rating of 90% that is quite amazing. Such appeal is evident in its constant high sales volume and the high value which it commands in the CS2 market, making it a really hot item in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened Factory New is a skin from 391 different knife skins in the game CS2. This particular skin has Covert rarity, which makes it ultra rare with a drop possibility estimated at just 0.26%.

Versions

Versions

The float value for ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which makes the skin drop in all exteriors with different levels of blue gem patterns. Besides that, for more exclusiveness to collectors, each Case Hardened skin has a StatTrak variant.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened polarized the CS2 community. Having been rated over 7,500 times on addskins.gg, this skin received an average of 2.9 out of 5 stars. Players liked the very special Case Hardened pattern on the knives, while others felt disappointed because the knife doesn't have any blue coloration on it. So, the users have a very divisive feeling about this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Case Hardened finish on these Shadow Daggers is a stunning mix of blues and golds, mixed in such an engaging pattern that depends on the pattern index for the weapon. The patina effect has been done almost authentically to look like the process of case hardening would go in real life, so it becomes visually striking and a little different from the usual paint job.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 256 (16.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 250 (13.63%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 244 (10.9%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 360 (63.63%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class