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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened entered the world of CS2 on September 17th, 2015, when it was released in the Shadow Case, together with the "Shadow Boxing" update. From that time on, these worn-out daggers have been in demand by both collectors and players due to unique blue patterns, different on each blade.
The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a highly rare skin in CS2, which can only be acquired by opening a Shadow Case container. It does not come under any collection unlike the other skins and hence is more unique and sought after by collectors and enthusiasts around.
A highly popular variant of this type is the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn), rated 90% popularity, thus being one of the highly desired items in CS2 communities. Its desirability reflects in its high volume of sales per day and the premium price it quotes on the market.
The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a rare skin in CS2, as only 391 skins out of all the knives are in this condition. Being of Covert rarity, this Case Hardened variant can only be dropped by an incredibly small amount of people, and is estimated to have a drop chance of merely 0.26%.
The well-worn version of the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened is among the most wanted skins in CS2, its price changing from $115.28 to $541.77. For such an enormous price, it is currently highly liquid within diverse markets. An estimated quantity of 5.4K units of Case Hardened exist in public CS2 inventories.
Float Value: The ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened-Well-Worn has a float value between 0.38 and 0.45. Well-Worn: This skin has a large amount of wear, with scratches and wear patterns being easily noticeable. Of course, StatTrak versions of the Case Hardened are available in Well-Worn exterior, too, because killing needs to be tracked in style.
The case-hardened condition of ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened received a very polar love-it-or-hate-it reaction within the CS2 community, having more than 7.5K votes on addskins.gg. Some players like the unique Case Hardened pattern, while others are disappointed with its well-worn condition, giving it an average rating of 2.9 out of 5 stars.
Wear on this Shadow Daggers makes it truly shine with the popular "Case Hardened" finish, really catching the eye with a wide variety of blues complemented by streaks of gold and purple. Colors this bold have a great affect on pattern index, adding to the unique and mesmerizing qualities of each individual blade.
According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 111 (6.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 126 (21.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 144 (38.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 180 (73.34%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.