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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile-Factory New is one of the most highly desired weapons in CS2, combining its notorious high-risk, high-reward gameplay with a distinctive signature report and deadly one-shot, one-kill capability. The custom paint job features intricately designed lines that replicate the appearance of grooves on a topographical map, creating a visually stunning and immersive experience for players.
The AWP | Black Nile was released from the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package on April 24th, 2023. This package was released along with the "Anubis Skins" update and showcased the creative work of community designer "SayChains," who created this striking Factory New skin.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) can be acquired through opening either an Anubis Collection Package or a Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package container, both of which contain a chance to obtain this exclusive skin. This skin is also part of the Anubis Collection, a set of unique weapon finishes inspired by ancient Egyptian mythology.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) has a really high popularity of 95% within the CS2 community. In fact, this is pretty evident from the high volumes in which it sells and its premium price in the market, making it one of the most in-demand skins in the game.
AWp | Black Nile is part of the 125 sniper rifle skin that holds a rather common status, and with a drop chance of about 79.92 percent, getting a Factory New Black Nile is pretty easier than other rarer CS: GO skins.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile Factory New is a rather cheap skin, which is available in the range of $1.55-$38.14. It is also pretty easy to get via various markets, which makes this nice-looking skin accessible to every player who wants to have it in his or her collection. Currently, the public CS2 inventories hold around 103.2K units of the Black Nile.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile is available in all exteriors, including Factory New, with float values ranging from 0.00 to 0.75. Each exterior also has its own Souvenir variant, allowing players to collect this stunning skin in various conditions.
The community sentiment for Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, based on over 115 votes on addskins.gg. This sentiment is further reinforced by its popularity among professional CS2 players like davey, boltz, and daps, who own this skin.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile is the CS2 skin featuring the "Gunsmith" style with an incredibly eye-catching Black Nile finish that combines patina and custom paint styles. Shades of gray dominate this pattern; therefore, the indexes in it have no effect on appearance.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 33.34 (6.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 30.24 (-2.98%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 35.64 (14.34%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 54.98 (76.39%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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