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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile-Well-Worn pulls out all the stops and requires fine accuracy. Renowned for its distinctive report and its ability to take fools out with a single shot, this is the big gun. This custom paint job has reproduced the patterns of a topographical map onto this weapon, creating a piece of art that blurs the lines between form and function.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) was presented to the CS2 community on April 24th, 2023, together with other skins in the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This stylish skin designed by the popular community designer "SayChains" quickly became a hot item among those players who were searching for a fancy and battle-worn AWP.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) in CS2 can only be obtained by opening Anubis Collection Package, or Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package container. This particular skin is an exclusive part of the Anubis Collection.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) is highly sought after, with an extremely high popularity rating of 95% within the CS2 community. Its position as a highly popular item is further solidified by its strong sales volume and the high price it sells for.
The AWP | Black Nile is one of 125 other Sniper Rifle skins, making it a rather common find in CS2. With a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, the Black Nile has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further solidifying its commonness among players.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a minimum price of $1.55 and a maximum of $38.14, which is pretty affordable for most players. Also, this skin is currently highly available, and it's widely present in various markets. There are about 103.2K units of the Black Nile in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) in CS2 has all the exterior qualities, from 0.00 to 0.75 float value, which allows the skin to look actually worn out. Correspondingly, every exterior skin variant has its own Souvenir version, making a really wide choice for collectors.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) for CS2 has garnered significant community sentiment, with over 115 votes on addskins.gg and an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to the professional CS2 scene, as it is proudly owned by renowned players such as davey, boltz, and daps.
The Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) features a "Gunsmith" style that perfectly marries the allure of patina with expertly crafted custom paintwork. Predominantly gray, this skin looks sleek and sophisticated, and the pattern indexes don't detract from the captivating Black Nile finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 17.6 (15.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 16.39 (7.12%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 19.57 (27.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 36.18 (136.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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