Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)

4.6 1707 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 249
+9.05%
Last month
$ 448
+17.55%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2 833
-5.11%
In a quarter
$ 2 817
-5.65%
In half a year
$ 3 070
+2.83%
In a year
$ 5 146
+72.36%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
48 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)
Gallery
AWP | Desert Hydra inspecting AWP | Desert Hydra reloading AWP | Desert Hydra holding AWP | Desert Hydra pose-1 AWP | Desert Hydra pose-2 AWP | Desert Hydra pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3 000
  • 24h price change: 0.4689%
  • 7 days low: $ 2 751
  • 7 days high: $ 6 500
  • 7 days price change: 9.05%
  • 30 days low: $ 2 552
  • 30 days high: $ 12 977
  • 30 days price change: 17.55%
  • 90 days low: $ 2 552
  • 90 days high: $ 13 405
  • Year low: $ 2 328
  • Year high: $ 476 598
  • All time low: $ 2 328
  • All time high: $ 476 598
  • All time max offers: 90
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 38
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 4.91
  • Volatility: 7.88%
  • Liquidity: 2.75%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2 833
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2 817
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.65%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3 070
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 2.83%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 5 146
  • Price forecast change in a year: 72.36%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2 952
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 952
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2 952
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2 952
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3 017
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3 332
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2 960
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2 959
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2 908
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2 891
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3 050
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3 384
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3 317
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3 238
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3 217
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3 597
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3 545
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2 881
Action
🔥 Buy
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 2 762
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2 952
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
8684
143140
115112
458447
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 5/30
  • Damage: 115
  • Spread: 0.2
  • Rate of fire: 41
  • Movement speed: 200
  • Kill reward: $ 100
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) is a fearsome gun that requires precision and calculated risks. Its custom gold snake pattern, juxtaposed with a clean white scope, barrel, and butt stock, serves as a constant reminder of the high stakes involved in wielding this powerful sniper rifle.

History

History

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) has been in CS2 since September 21st, 2021, when it was added into the game as part of the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package. This highly sought-after skin became even more coveted as its release coincided with the "Operation Riptide" update, adding more to its allure among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

This The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) skin was added to CS2 in the 2021 Mirage Collection. In order to get this skin, a player receives it when opening any of the four containers containing the skin: Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and the container Mirage Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) is a highly sought-after skin in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 65%. This impressive popularity is driven by its rarity, exquisite design, and the prestige associated with owning this high-quality skin.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) is one of the 125 other Sniper Rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin has a Covert rarity, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) for CS2 is one of the highly sought-after skins, going for a price of $1,426.98-$4,188.72. Despite the steep price tag, the skin is now widely available and can be purchased on various markets. In fact, there are currently 11.4K units of the Desert Hydra in public CS2 inventories, making it a relatively accessible option for collectors and enthusiasts.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir version of the AWP | Desert Hydra can be found in all of its exteriors, from float values between 0.00 and 0.60. This would allow a Souvenir Desert Hydra in any exterior and thus give collectors and players an extremely wide variety of options.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra of CS2 had big community attention, taking votes on addskins.gg (in the amount of more than 1.6K) and reaching such a high average rating: 4.6 of 5 stars. Furthermore, this skin is popular at pro matches, too - renowned CS2 players are proud owners of such devices: boltz, xsepower, captainmo.

Finish style

Finish style

The Factory New Souvenir finish of this AWP is a "Gunsmith" quality with a unique patina and custom paint techniques, which makes the Desert Hydra a very special skin. Its dominant orange tint gives it an unmistakable look, and pattern indexes do not change the mesmerizing Desert Hydra finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2 833 (-5.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2 817 (-5.65%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 3 070 (2.83%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5 146 (72.36%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

All sniper rifle