Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn)

4.3 433100 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 252
+41.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1 008
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 614
0.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
4 offers on 4 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 858
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 862
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 862
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 862
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger inspecting M4A1-S | Imminent Danger reloading M4A1-S | Imminent Danger holding M4A1-S | Imminent Danger pose-1 M4A1-S | Imminent Danger pose-2 M4A1-S | Imminent Danger pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 858
  • 7 days low: $ 858
  • 7 days high: $ 862
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 606
  • 30 days high: $ 965
  • 30 days price change: 41.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 576
  • 90 days high: $ 1 519
  • Year low: $ 576
  • Year high: $ 1 519
  • All time low: $ 576
  • All time high: $ 1 519
  • All time max offers: 6
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 0
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.63
  • Volatility: 11.07%
  • Liquidity: 0.0%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1 008
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 614
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1 050
Action
✋ Hold
August 16, 2025
Price
$ 1 144
Action
❌ Avoid
August 24, 2025
Price
$ 1 106
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 599
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 599
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 830
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 231
38.51%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 787
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1 050
Action
✋ Hold
August 16, 2025
Price
$ 1 144
Action
❌ Avoid
August 24, 2025
Price
$ 1 106
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 106
Action
✋ Hold
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 1 011
Action
✋ Hold
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 794
Action
✋ Hold
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 599
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 599
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 830
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 231
38.51%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 787
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 606
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 231
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 599
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
14
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 14 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Imminent Danger, worn, appeared in the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, when it was unveiled as a desired item in the Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package. This package was introduced with the "Operation Riptide" update, which gave players a chance to wield this battle-worn weapon in their virtual skirmishes.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) for CS2 was originally dropped from several souvenir packages and is part of the 2021 Vertigo Collection. It can be obtained by opening containers like Antwerp 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Vertigo Souvenir Package, and Rio 2022 Vertigo Souvenir Package.

Popularity

Popularity

Despite being a rather well-worn skin, M4A1-S | Imminent Danger boasts relatively average popularity among players with 35% in CS2. Its popularity comes due to its unique design and is one of the most budget versions for players seeking not the most expensive weapon in general.

Rarity

Rarity

This, the Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn), is one of 255 other rifle skins available in CS2. In terms of rarity, Covert-grade skins are considered extremely rare; this skin has an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) in CS2 is an expensive skin, falling within a price range of $549.03-$13,870.39. For now, it's available and can be easily found on different markets for purchase. About 1.2K units of the Imminent Danger skin exist in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.00 to 0.80, ensuring this skin is available in all the exteriors for both collectors and players. Furthermore, there is a Souvenir version of the Imminent Danger for each exterior, further adding exclusivity and rarity to this highly sought-after skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger(Well-Worn) This CS2 skin features an overwhelming positive community sentiment with an astonishing 4.3 out of 5-star rating for over 433 votes on addskins.gg. At the same time, it is the favorite among many professional players like naf, electronic, and nicoodoz.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) features a careful "Artisan" finish, combining a worn patina with detailed, hand-painted accents. The custom paint styles give the weapon some nice depth and character, while the pattern indexes have been carefully created to make sure that all different versions have a consistent and striking Imminent Danger finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 1 008 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 614 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class