Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)

5.0 212069 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.93
+12.58%
Last month
$ 0.93
+12.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 8.24
+0.61%
In a quarter
$ 8.08
-1.34%
In half a year
$ 8.57
+4.64%
In a year
$ 15.44
+88.52%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
192 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec inspecting M4A1-S | Mud-Spec reloading M4A1-S | Mud-Spec holding M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-1 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-2 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.32
  • 24h price change: 12.58%
  • 7 days low: $ 7.39
  • 7 days high: $ 80.98
  • 7 days price change: 12.58%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.39
  • 30 days high: $ 81.59
  • 30 days price change: 12.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.98
  • 90 days high: $ 40 000
  • Year low: $ 5.13
  • Year high: $ 40 000
  • All time low: $ 5.1
  • All time high: $ 40 000
  • All time max offers: 290
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 152
  • Sales for last 30 days: 512
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1268
  • All time sales: 4109
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 2.92
  • Volatility: 12.3%
  • Liquidity: 13.39%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 8.24
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.61%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 8.08
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.57
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 4.64%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 15.44
  • Price forecast change in a year: 88.52%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.23
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.23
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.04
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.05
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 6.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.66
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.19
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.41
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.83
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.33
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 8.23
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec first made its appearance in CS2 on April 24th, 2023, included in the highly anticipated Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This unique skin, designed by the very talented community artist SayChains, quickly gained popularity among players for its gritty and weathered appearance, thus making it a sought-after item in the CS2 trading community.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) was a rare drop from the Anubis Collection during container openings for either the Anubis Collection Package or the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. Since its release, it has been one of the most desired skins in the CS2 community due to its unique mud-splattered design and pristine condition.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec Factory New is one of the hottest skins in CS2, with an unimaginable 90% popularity. In fact, it's pretty cool and really hard to find in this condition, so this skin can be a real treasure for many collectors and players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) is one of 255 other rifle skins available in CS2. Its rarity, however, is Industrial Grade, meaning this is a rather common skin and one that players can encounter often in the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) is a rather cheap skin, with its price starting from $0.16 and peaking at $5.60. It's highly available because it can be bought from several markets, and there are 260.5K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) in CS2 comes with a float value in a range from 0.00 to 0.73, which allows players to get this skin in any exterior. Moreover, for each exterior, there are Souvenir versions available to give collectors a really extensive choice.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The community sentiment towards the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) in CS2 is very positive, having a high user rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars based on over 212 votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further cemented in the fact that the professional CS2 players guardian and kennys also own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec showcases a "Gunsmith" inspired finish that seamlessly blends patina and custom paint styles. Regardless of the pattern index, the Mud-Spec finish remains consistent, offering a unique and captivating appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 8.24 (0.61%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 8.08 (-1.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.57 (4.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 15.44 (88.52%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.73
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players