Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear)

5.0 212078 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.17
+7.02%
Last month
$ 0.47
+22.17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.66
-3.27%
In a quarter
$ 2.61
-5.09%
In half a year
$ 2.74
-0.3636%
In a year
$ 4.43
+61.09%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
8% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
239 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 2.56
White.Market
White.Market
38 offers
from $ 2.76
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
16 offers
from $ 2.76
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
6 offers
from $ 2.79
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 2.82
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
60 offers
from $ 2.93
Bitskins
Bitskins
7 offers
from $ 3.2
Skinport
Skinport
26 offers
from $ 3.42
Steam
Steam
82 offers
from $ 3.95
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec inspecting M4A1-S | Mud-Spec reloading M4A1-S | Mud-Spec holding M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-1 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-2 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.59
  • 24h price change: 7.02%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.42
  • 7 days high: $ 29.43
  • 7 days price change: 7.02%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.12
  • 30 days high: $ 29.65
  • 30 days price change: 22.17%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.12
  • 90 days high: $ 29.8
  • Year low: $ 1.86
  • Year high: $ 438
  • All time low: $ 1.86
  • All time high: $ 438
  • All time max offers: 449
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 60
  • Sales for last 7 days: 404
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1624
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3975
  • All time sales: 12718
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 2.59
  • Volatility: 9.45%
  • Liquidity: 14.14%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.66
  • Price forecast change in a month: -3.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.61
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.09%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.74
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -0.3636%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 4.43
  • Price forecast change in a year: 61.09%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.35
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.094
-4.00%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.85
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.39
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.36
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.35
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.094
-4.00%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.34
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.36
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.55
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.85
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.85
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.094
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.2
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
8%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec appeared in the CS2 community for the first time on April 24th, 2023, included in the long-awaited Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. Designed by the talented community designer "SayChains," this skin quickly gained popularity due to its gritty and weathered appearance, turning into a highly sought-after item among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) is a variant of Mud-Spec and was a special souvenir skin released during the Anubis Collection. Players have a chance to get it opening either an Anubis Collection Package or a Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package container, making it highly sought after by collectors and CS2 enthusiasts.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) is one of the hottest items in the CS2 community, having an extremely high popularity rating of 90%. Its overall popularity is based on a great sales volume and the premium price it sells for, which puts it as one of the hottest items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) is one of the 255 other rifle skins in CS2. This skin has an Industrial Grade rarity, making it rather common and often seen throughout gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) is a rather cheap skin, since it costs from $0.16 to $5.60. It is easily available because such a skin can be bought on different markets. Moreover, there is a large supply of 260.5K units of the Mud-Spec skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) in CS2 has all the possible exterior qualities, with float values between 0.00 and 0.73 to suit collectors and players who have a liking for such variation in wear. There's also an exclusive Souvenir variant for each of the different exterior versions, adding more exclusivity to this already highly sought-after skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) attracts a huge following from the community; over 212 votes on addskins.gg gave this skin an incredible average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is also boosted by the fact that it belongs to professional CS2 players like guardian and kennys.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) in CS2 features a masterly "Gunsmith" finish with a combination of patina with bespoke paint styles. The pattern index is the same, and the coloration is consistent for the Mud-Spec coating.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 2.66 (-3.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.61 (-5.09%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.74 (-0.3636%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 4.43 (61.09%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.73
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players