Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn)

5.0 212182 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.17
+6.14%
Last month
$ 0.17
+6.14%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.99
+1.36%
In a quarter
$ 3.04
+3.05%
In half a year
$ 3.6
+22.03%
In a year
$ 7.07
+140.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
46 offers on 6 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
7 offers
from $ 2.94
Steam
Steam
24 offers
from $ 4.39
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 4.46
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 5.99
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 7.27
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 9.99
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec inspecting M4A1-S | Mud-Spec reloading M4A1-S | Mud-Spec holding M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-1 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-2 M4A1-S | Mud-Spec pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.94
  • 7 days low: $ 2.77
  • 7 days high: $ 15.87
  • 7 days price change: 6.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.77
  • 30 days high: $ 31.18
  • 30 days price change: 6.14%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.77
  • 90 days high: $ 31.18
  • Year low: $ 1.12
  • Year high: $ 350
  • All time low: $ 1.12
  • All time high: $ 350
  • All time max offers: 97
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 15
  • Sales for last 7 days: 93
  • Sales for last 30 days: 309
  • Sales for last 90 days: 785
  • All time sales: 2212
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.83
  • Volatility: 16.9%
  • Liquidity: 11.29%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.99
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.36%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.04
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.05%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.6
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 22.03%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.07
  • Price forecast change in a year: 140.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.37
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.37
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.28
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.7
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.26
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.62
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.94
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.37
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

History

History

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec appeared for the first time in the CS2 community on April 24th, 2023, being part of the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This skin was designed by SayChains and released in conjunction with the highly anticipated "Anubis Skins" update, adding a touch of realism and grit to the weapon.

Origin

Origin

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) was released as a souvenir skin in CS2, only being obtainable by opening an Anubis Collection Package or a Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package container. This is the well-worn version of the M4A1-S skin, part of the exclusive Anubis Collection. It has been painted in a weathered look with mud-like patterns that give the gun some sense of realism.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) has a popularity rating of 90% among CS2 players, which is pretty high. It is in high demand and sells quite frequently, hence making it one of the most wanted items within the game, boosted by its market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) is one of 255 other rifle skins in CS2. Falling into the Industrial Grade category, this skin is relatively common and can often be found while playing.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a very affordable price, which ranges from $0.16 to $5.60. It is very easy to get your hands on since it is available on many markets, and there are 260.5K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float values for the Souvenir variants of the M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) in CS2 can range from 0.00 to 0.73, allowing players of the game to get their hands on this skin in absolutely any exterior condition. Moreover, for every exterior, its corresponding Souvenir variant of Mud-Spec is available as well.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars based on 212 votes on addskins.gg. The skin's popularity is further evidenced by its ownership among renowned professional CS2 players, including guardian and kennys.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) features a "Gunsmith" style, a mix of patina with bespoke paint applications giving this gun a uniquely weathered look and feel. The indexes of the pattern remain the same, but the finish is always Mud-Spec, adding a touch of authenticity to this battle-worn M4A1-S.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 2.99 (1.36%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.04 (3.05%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 3.6 (22.03%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.07 (140.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.73
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players