Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested)

4.5 3997 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 123
+39.3%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 465
+6.48%
In a quarter
$ 588
+34.64%
In half a year
$ 876
+101.0%
In a year
$ 508
+16.32%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
4 offers on 3 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 436
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 440
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 655
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | Nitro inspecting M4A1-S | Nitro reloading M4A1-S | Nitro holding M4A1-S | Nitro pose-1 M4A1-S | Nitro pose-2 M4A1-S | Nitro pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 436
  • 7 days low: $ 436
  • 7 days high: $ 655
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 313
  • 30 days high: $ 6 701
  • 30 days price change: 39.3%
  • 90 days low: $ 313
  • 90 days high: $ 61 162
  • Year low: $ 160
  • Year high: $ 383 217
  • All time low: $ 131
  • All time high: $ 383 217
  • All time max offers: 10
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1
  • All time sales: 2
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.7
  • Volatility: 17.7%
  • Liquidity: 0.48%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 465
  • Price forecast change in a month: 6.48%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 588
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 34.64%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 876
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 101.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 508
  • Price forecast change in a year: 16.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 420
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 420
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 420
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 500
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 660
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 660
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 670
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 394
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 394
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 430
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 440
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 437
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 420
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro-Field-Tested variant, while having a smaller magazine size than its unsuppressed sibling, unleashes quiet shots in addition to improved stability and accuracy. This body is sprayed with various colors of black and tangerine orange, bearing in mind that youth is so inexperienced and raw.

History

History

The M4A1-S | Nitro first appeared in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, when it was released as part of the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. This nice and stylish skin for the weapon immediately gained popularity among players due to its bright design and detailed elaboration.

Origin

Origin

This is an M4A1-S | Nitro Field-Tested skin, an item that was added into the game as a possible drop from DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package containers, giving this weapon an extra specialness. It is also tagged under The Safehouse Collection, making it even more appealing to collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | Nitro has become one of the hottest CS2 skins among all users, boasting an unimaginably high popularity rating of 95%. Due to such strong and widespread appeal, high demand has made this one of the most coveted skins in the game. It achieved this status based on high sales volume daily and huge market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro Field-Tested is a rare skin, ranked as Restricted, and is one of 255 different rifle skins in CS2. This skin is relatively well rare and is dropped only in 15.98% of cases.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) in CS2 has a very wide price range, from as low as $0.64 to $554.81, making it a somewhat affordable option to acquire. This skin is also quite easy to get since it's widely available in almost all markets and has a supply of close to 1.1 million units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Field-Tested M4A1-S | Nitro has all float values from 0.06 to 0.80, meaning that it is available in every exterior. Also, for every one of those exteriors, a corresponding Souvenir version of the skin called Nitro exists.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment with respect to the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) in CS2 is very positive; with over 3.9K votes on addskins.gg, the average rating is as high as 4.5 out of 5 stars. On top of that, this skin has been used by such popular professional CS2 players as guardian, olofmeister, and happy, which also adds up to its popularity within the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro Field-Tested skin in CS2 has a "Solid Color" style and a Nitro finish. This skin was painted with up to four colors on each part of the weapon and then put together. Brown and black, this pattern is striking and natural-looking. The Nitro finish has the same look and feel for any pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 465 (6.48%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 588 (34.64%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 876 (101.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 508 (16.32%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.