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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 20 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) is a silenced variant of the M4A1, featuring a reduced magazine size for quieter shots with improved accuracy and less recoil. Its sleek design gives off individual parts spray-painted in a striking combination of black and tangerine orange, reflecting the confidence of its owner, Rona, who is still learning the importance of discretion and humility.
The M4A1-S | Nitro appeared first in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, having been released as a part of the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. This sleek and chicly styled skin immediately attracted lots of attention among players; because of this, it could be called a mascot of that "Out with the old, in with the new" update, intended to give the game a refresh.
The M4A1-S | Nitro was first driven onto the stage wearing wear and tear, and has been given out as a possible reward for opening containers from both DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package and EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. It is also indexed in the highly sought after The Safehouse Collection.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) has grown very popular, having an outstandingly huge popularity of 95%. This is one of the most in-demand CS2 items, while the huge daily sales volume at high prices explain its tremendous popularity among gamers.
The M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) is among 255 rifle skins, which exist in CS2. With a restrictive rarity classification, this is a relatively rare skin; the drop chance has been valued at 15.98%.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) is an averagely priced skin, between $0.64-$554.81 about, thus being in the affordable range for most players. It's currently in high demand and can be easily got from various markets since there is an estimated 1.1 million units of Nitro available in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, ensuring this skin is available in all exteriors for collectors and enthusiasts alike. Moreover, the players can also find the Souvenir versions of Nitro in each exterior, thus offering a unique and sought-after variant for Souvenir skin collectors.
The community sentiment for the souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) in CS2 is extremely positive as it has an average rating of 4.5 out of 5-star ratings and over 3.9K votes on addskins.gg. Furthermore, the skin's popularity can be further cemented in place by its ownership by big professional players like guardian, olofmeister, and happy.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) in CS2 has a "Solid Color" style, with a Nitro finish, where each component of the weapon is carefully painted with up to four different colors before being reassembled. The skin looks interestingly colored in brown and black, while the Nitro finish is not affected by pattern indexes.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 903 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 823 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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