Pistol
Knife
Machinegun
Glove

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) is one of the most popular weapons in CS2, with a smaller magazine size for quieter and more controlled shots, making it stealthy and accurate. The hydrographic VariCamo pattern adds a touch of style to the weapon, showcasing the beauty that can emerge from the aftermath of chaos and destruction.
The M4A1-S | VariCamo made its first appearance in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, when it was added to the Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package. This gave a very big turn to the game and a new light to this weapon, giving users a chance to express themselves with this chic camouflage skin.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) skin in CS2 can be obtained by opening one of the 11 containers that hold this particular skin, such as the Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Dust II Souvenir Package. Moreover, this skin is part of The Dust 2 Collection, which makes it even more rare and highly sought after by players.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) is very popular among CS2 players, as evidenced by its 90% popularity rating. Its extreme popularity could be explained by the skin's rarity and the overall look of the design, which makes it one of the most wanted skins in the game. The popularity assessment is based on an analysis of the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, which testifies to its significant demand within the player community.
The M4A1-S | VariCamo is one of the numerous Rifle skins in CS2, numbering about 255 skins in its class. It falls under the Mil-Spec Grade rarity, and it is a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
With a price range between $0.67 and $39.79, the M4A1-S | VariCamo is a very affordable skin. Fortunately, it's currently widely available and can be purchased on multiple different markets. There are currently 868.8K units of the VariCamo in public CS2 inventories, making it a popular and accessible choice for players.
The M4A1-S | VariCamo features a float value range from 0.00 to 0.60 in Souvenir version, Factory New, which enables players to get this skin in all the exteriors. There's also a Souvenir available for each of the different VariCamo skins. This gives collectors many varieties of ways to add this popular skin to their inventory.
The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) has received overwhelmingly positive community sentiment, boasting an impressive 4.9 out of 5-star rating and over 6,000 votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity has trickled down to the professional CS2 scene, as the likes of device, fallen, and happy have added this skin to their collection.
This skin's disassembled weapon parts, the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo Factory New, are carefully dunked into a water tank, and then a floating hydrographic film is placed. Due to this process, the pattern adheres itself onto a previously primed surface. Gray tones that cover this skin make it appear sleek and stealthy. A pattern index creates much-needed variation and depth for the overall look of the skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 64.28 (-8.86%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 62.22 (-11.78%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 60.97 (-13.55%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 105 (48.87%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.











Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.