Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested)

4.9 6142 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.44
+10.61%
Last month
$ 1.44
+10.61%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 15.1
-1.44%
In a quarter
$ 15.75
+2.81%
In half a year
$ 16.44
+7.31%
In a year
$ 21.38
+39.56%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
55% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
76 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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from $ 21.28
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from $ 29.98
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Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A1-S | VariCamo inspecting M4A1-S | VariCamo reloading M4A1-S | VariCamo holding M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-1 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-2 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 15.01
  • 7 days low: $ 13.57
  • 7 days high: $ 750
  • 7 days price change: 10.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 13.57
  • 30 days high: $ 750
  • 30 days price change: 10.61%
  • 90 days low: $ 13.57
  • 90 days high: $ 750
  • Year low: $ 12.28
  • Year high: $ 11 000
  • All time low: $ 12.28
  • All time high: $ 11 000
  • All time max offers: 132
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 14
  • Sales for last 30 days: 57
  • Sales for last 90 days: 117
  • All time sales: 312
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.2
  • Volatility: 13.47%
  • Liquidity: 11.2%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 15.1
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.44%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 15.75
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.81%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 16.44
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 7.31%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 21.38
  • Price forecast change in a year: 39.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 19.11
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 16.52
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.52
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 17.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.12
6.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.86
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 15.81
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.05
-0.31525900%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.74
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 19.11
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 19.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 16.52
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.52
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 15.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 15.51
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.94
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 16.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.4
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 16.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.64
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.12
6.78%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.86
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.86
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 15.81
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.05
-0.31525900%
Result
👎 Fail
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.74
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 15.63
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.07
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 46.12
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
55%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo field-tested allows for more discreet and controlled shooting, since it has a silencer integrated into its design, plus a smaller magazine capacity. Its distinct hydrographic pattern of VariCamo gives off a hint of style unique in its way and makes a blend of various camouflage elements, symbolizing toughness born out of chaos and devastation.

History

History

First joining the ranks of CS2 skins on November 27th, 2013, the M4A1-S | VariCamo was released as part of the Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package. This changed things because the update completely made the M4A1-S new, taking the usual reliability of this weapon and slapping a sleek camouflage design on it to create a highly coveted skin choice.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) in CS2 can be obtained through opening multiple containers, such as the Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Dust II Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Dust 2 Collection, so this realistic and popular skin has many ways to be owned by players.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) is highly sought after, with a popularity rating of 90% in CS2. Due to its huge demand, this skin is in high demand based on its daily sales volume and the price it fetches, making it one of the most wanted skins in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | VariCamo is one of the many rifle skins available in CS2, with a total of 255 other options to choose from. However, its Mil-Spec Grade rarity classifies it as a relatively common drop, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) for CS2 has a price range from $0.67 to $39.79, making it an affordable and reasonably priced in-game skin. Moreover, it is currently very abundant on different markets, and about 868.8K units are present in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo Field-Tested in CS2 features all of the exteriors and its float value is between 0.00 and 0.60. For every exterior variant of the skin, there is a corresponding Souvenir version of the VariCamo.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) has gathered tremendous support from the CS2 community, having over 6K votes on addskins.gg with an impressive rating of 4.9/5 stars. It's also become one of the favorite skins for some pros like device, fallen, and happy, which added value to this skin's desire and reputation.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index allows this skin, Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested), the intensity and placement of its gray shades, so when combined, it gives out a camouflage design that truly blends with the urban environments. The hydrographic technique employed in creating this skin insinuates a high level of detail and realistic look and feel; it's been reliable and stylish for clandestine operations.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 15.1 (-1.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 15.75 (2.81%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 16.44 (7.31%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 21.38 (39.56%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.