Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)

4.9 6196 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 7.64
+35.32%
Last month
$ 7.64
+35.32%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 25.53
-12.9%
In a quarter
$ 27.17
-7.3%
In half a year
$ 27.72
-5.42%
In a year
$ 46.04
+57.08%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
48 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 29.21
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 29.77
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 31.35
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 31.37
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
16 offers
from $ 32.03
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 32.17
Steam
Steam
12 offers
from $ 37.35
Skinport
Skinport
5 offers
from $ 39.51
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 344
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A1-S | VariCamo inspecting M4A1-S | VariCamo reloading M4A1-S | VariCamo holding M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-1 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-2 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 29.27
  • 24h price change: 1.49%
  • 7 days low: $ 21.63
  • 7 days high: $ 344
  • 7 days price change: 35.32%
  • 30 days low: $ 21.63
  • 30 days high: $ 344
  • 30 days price change: 35.32%
  • 90 days low: $ 21.63
  • 90 days high: $ 414
  • Year low: $ 18.05
  • Year high: $ 414
  • All time low: $ 18.05
  • All time high: $ 11 220
  • All time max offers: 69
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 17
  • Sales for last 90 days: 45
  • All time sales: 140
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.26
  • Volatility: 8.76%
  • Liquidity: 9.17%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 25.53
  • Price forecast change in a month: -12.9%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 27.17
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -7.3%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 27.72
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -5.42%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 46.04
  • Price forecast change in a year: 57.08%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 24.61
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.61
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 38.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.34
58.27%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 29.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.05
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.61
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.61
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 25.8
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 26.52
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 26.47
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 26.47
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 29.16
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 28.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 26.4
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 25.44
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 25
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 26.22
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 38.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 14.34
58.27%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 29.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.05
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 27.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 28.84
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 14.34
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 53.66
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) has a smaller magazine size than its unsuppressed counterpart, but it promises quieter shots with superior accuracy and very minimal recoil. The exterior features a carefully applied VariCamo hydrographic pattern, the perfect imagery of resilience and rebirth among the post-ruin of destroyed spots.

History

History

The M4A1-S | VariCamo was first released into the world of CS2 on November 27th, 2013, after it was added into the Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package for release. This update had in mind offering a new look to freshen up the game, hence giving players an avenue through which they could display fashion with this minimal wear skin.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) was added to CS2 via Container Rewards among various containers, including Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Dust II Souvenir Package. It is also part of The Dust 2 Collection, which makes it a highly demanded skin for collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) skin in CS2 boasts an impressive popularity rating of 90%, making it highly sought after among players. Its desirability is evident through its consistent high sales volume and the premium price it commands in the marketplace, solidifying its position as one of the most coveted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A1-S | VariCamo is one of the numerous rifle skins available, alongside 254 others. With a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, the VariCamo is a pretty common drop and is estimated to have a drop chance of about 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) for CS2 has a price that fluctuates between $0.67 and $39.79, making it very affordable for players. It is also currently very available and can be bought from many markets, with an enormous 868.8K units of the VariCamo skin existing in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) exists in all skins, and their float values range from 0.00 to 0.60. There is also a corresponding Souvenir version for each exterior of the VariCamo skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) has an extremely positive community sentiment, boasting an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, with over 6K votes on addskins.gg. Further confirmation of its popularity comes with the fact that this skin is found in the inventories of some of the most well-known professional players, such as device, fallen, and happy.

Finish style

Finish style

This makes the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) skin mostly gray, with tints of darker shades and subtle variation throughout. The pattern index is applied via a hydrographic process, which ensures no parts of the pattern are cut off and provides a realistic camouflage feeling that perfectly merges with the sleek design of the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 25.53 (-12.9%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 27.17 (-7.3%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 27.72 (-5.42%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 46.04 (57.08%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.