Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn)

4.9 6031 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 10.39
+46.74%
Last month
$ 10.39
+46.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 21.52
-34.03%
In a quarter
$ 32.04
-1.78%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
29% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
6 offers on 2 markets
Updated28 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
5 offers
from $ 32.62
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 32.87
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A1-S | VariCamo inspecting M4A1-S | VariCamo reloading M4A1-S | VariCamo holding M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-1 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-2 M4A1-S | VariCamo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 32.62
  • 7 days low: $ 22.23
  • 7 days high: $ 49.34
  • 7 days price change: 46.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 22.23
  • 30 days high: $ 74.3
  • 30 days price change: 46.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 17.35
  • 90 days high: $ 74.3
  • Year low: $ 17.35
  • Year high: $ 471 391
  • All time low: $ 17.35
  • All time high: $ 471 391
  • All time max offers: 13
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 14
  • Sales for last 90 days: 22
  • All time sales: 51
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.5
  • Volatility: 8.55%
  • Liquidity: 5.62%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 21.52
  • Price forecast change in a month: -34.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 32.04
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -1.78%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 30.24
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 31.78
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.56
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.26
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 23.55
Action
✋ Hold
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 32.96
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 30.24
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 33.38
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 22.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 22.11
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 31.78
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.56
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.26
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 24.29
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 34.5
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 23.55
Action
✋ Hold
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 32.96
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
29%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2820
4733
3826
13292
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 20/80
  • Damage: 38
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 600
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Minimal Wear

Description

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) has a reduced magazine size compared to its unsuppressed variant, allowing for stealthier shots with improved stability and precision. Its surface features a striking VariCamo hydrographic pattern, an aesthetic beauty born from chaos and turmoil.

History

History

Since its introduction on November 27th, 2013, the M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) has been a staple within the CS2 community. It came from the Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package, and it is a skin that became in demand due to its unique camouflage pattern and battle-worn look, thus becoming popular among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 can be obtained by opening one of the 11 containers that include the Atlanta 2017 Dust II Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Dust II Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Dust II Souvenir Package. Additionally, it is part of The Dust 2 Collection, adding to its exclusivity and rarity.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) for CS2 is so popular that its popularity has soared to 90%. It is one of the most sought-after items in the game, which is evident from its strong sales volume and its price, which is growing day by day.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. This skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it a relatively common drop and estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a price of $0.67-$39.79, making the skin relatively affordable for many players. Moreover, this skin is one of the most widely available skins in many markets today, with up to 868.8K units of the VariCamo skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float Value: The float value of the M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) is from 0.38 to 0.45, has a medium worn appearance and may have noticeable scratches as well as wear patterns. All of the exterior skins have a souvenir version of VariCamo (Well-Worn); players can collect battle-worn versions of this camouflage-themed skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) in CS2 is very positive, with a high average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on over 6K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further supported by the fact that professional CS2 players such as device, fallen, and happy also own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo has a Hydrographic style finish, where the parts of the weapon are dipped in a water tank with a floating film that adheres to the surface, forming a patterned look. The shades of gray come predominantly for this skin due to its pattern index, which makes it look well-worn.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A1-S | VariCamo (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 21.52 (-34.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 32.04 (-1.78%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.