Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)

4.9 500018 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.35
+20.3%
Last month
$ 2.71
+51.23%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.31
-17.52%
In a quarter
$ 4.56
-40.39%
In half a year
$ 3.61
-52.81%
In a year
$ 1.06
-86.14%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
142 offers on 11 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Skinport
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Case Hardened inspecting MAC-10 | Case Hardened reloading MAC-10 | Case Hardened holding MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-1 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-2 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8
  • 24h price change: 4.58%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.65
  • 7 days high: $ 158
  • 7 days price change: 20.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.29
  • 30 days high: $ 158
  • 30 days price change: 51.23%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.29
  • 90 days high: $ 177
  • Year low: $ 5.29
  • Year high: $ 1 694
  • All time low: $ 5.29
  • All time high: $ 1 694
  • All time max offers: 262
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 19
  • Sales for last 7 days: 138
  • Sales for last 30 days: 472
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1048
  • All time sales: 2778
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -5.46
  • Volatility: 11.24%
  • Liquidity: 11.9%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: -17.52%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.56
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -40.39%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.61
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -52.81%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.06
  • Price forecast change in a year: -86.14%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.94
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.94
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.36
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.4
Action
📉 Sell
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.87
Action
📉 Sell
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.6
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.76
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.91
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.27
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.81
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.09
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.45
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 7
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.02
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.64
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.32
Action
📉 Sell
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

History

History

The MAC-10 | Case Hardened dropped in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and it became an instant favorite for players. Its striking Case Hardened pattern, combined with its sleek design, made it a highly sought-after weapon in the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, which was released together with the "Operation Riptide" update, adding some class to the intense battles on the iconic Dust II map.

Origin

Origin

A highly wanted skin among collectors, the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened Field-Tested is dropped when an Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, or Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package container is opened. Additionally, this skin belongs to the highly exclusive 2021 Dust 2 Collection, making it very rare and valuable in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened is one of the most wanted skins among CS2 players, as it holds a popularity rating of 90%. Its desirability is clearly reflected by its high sales volume and the premium price that it demands in the market, placing it among the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The MAC-10 | Case Hardened is a pretty rare skin; it's one of the 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. With the rarity level being Restricted, this makes it a rare drop; the estimated chance to get it is about 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) for CS2 has a price range of $6.41-$74.20, which is pretty affordable for players. It is also widely available and can be easily accessed from various marketplaces for players to buy. Furthermore, there are 43.1K units of the Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories, which shows its demand among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing players to obtain this skin in any exterior. Additionally, for each exterior, there is a corresponding Souvenir version of the Case Hardened available, providing collectors with a variety of options to showcase their prized possession.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is highly rated by the CS2 community, having more than 500 votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further reinforced by its ownership in the inventories of renowned professional players such as fer, rain, and sdy.

Finish style

Finish style

This MAC-10 features a Case Hardened finish that has been processed through a patina, which hardens a shell over the metallic parts. The pattern index of the finish will determine the placement and intensity of the blues and golds in the finish, creating a unique and intricate design on the surface of the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 6.31 (-17.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.56 (-40.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.61 (-52.81%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 1.06 (-86.14%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players