Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

4.9 500079 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1
+15.2%
Last month
$ 2.15
+39.59%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.67
-10.11%
In a quarter
$ 5.35
-27.9%
In half a year
$ 5.03
-32.21%
In a year
$ 2.69
-63.75%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
29% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
180 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MAC-10 | Case Hardened inspecting MAC-10 | Case Hardened reloading MAC-10 | Case Hardened holding MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-1 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-2 MAC-10 | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.58
  • 24h price change: 2.16%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.58
  • 7 days high: $ 468
  • 7 days price change: 15.2%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.43
  • 30 days high: $ 2 359
  • 30 days price change: 39.59%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.29
  • 90 days high: $ 34 879
  • Year low: $ 4.49
  • Year high: $ 97 738
  • All time low: $ 4.49
  • All time high: $ 97 738
  • All time max offers: 423
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 17
  • Sales for last 7 days: 142
  • Sales for last 30 days: 536
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1279
  • All time sales: 3133
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -3.67
  • Volatility: 12.67%
  • Liquidity: 11.09%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.67
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.35
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -27.9%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.03
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -32.21%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.69
  • Price forecast change in a year: -63.75%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6.97
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.97
Action
📉 Sell
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.47
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.86
Action
📉 Sell
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.28
Action
📉 Sell
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.31
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.29
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.79
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.51
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.91
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.14
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.89
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.12
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.47
Action
📉 Sell
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 6
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.64
Action
📉 Sell
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
29%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2011
3319
2715
10661
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists
  • Magazine capacity: 30/100
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

History

History

The MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) first entered the CS2 universe on September 21st, 2021, being included in the highly expected Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package. The strikingly blue and gold case-hardened finish made this weapon's skin one of the more popular ones in the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) was added to the list of possible items returned when one of Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Packages, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Packages, or Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Packages were opened. It's also part of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection, so it is available via trade-ups as well as through the market.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of the highly sought-after skins, with its popularity reaching as high as 90% in the CS2 community. Its desirability speaks for itself through its high volume of sales every day and the premium price that it sells for, cementing its place as a highly sought-after skin in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) belongs to one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This Well-Worn version of Case Hardened has a Rareness classification of Restricted, hence it is relatively rare because its estimated drop chance is about 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) for CS2 has a rather cheap price, which ranges from $6.41 to $74.20. With its popularity, this is one of the easiest skins to get since it was sold on many markets, and there are about 43.1K units already in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, showcasing a moderate wear pattern with noticeable scratches and a slightly faded blue hue. For each exterior available, collectors can get a Souvenir version of the Case Hardened skin, offering a unique look that is battle-worn and adds a touch of authenticity to their loadout.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) has received much community love in CS2, with over 500 votes on addskins.gg, averaging 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends beyond the community, as esteemed professional players such as fer, rain, and sdy have also acquired this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Souvenir MAC-10 features a Case Hardened finish with a distinct patina, showcasing a hardened shell that's been created as the result of a chemical reaction. The pattern index of the finish will affect the overall appearance, creating an incredibly unique blend of bright blues and tints of gold, yielding an attention-grabbing and highly coveted finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MAC-10 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 6.67 (-10.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.35 (-27.9%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 5.03 (-32.21%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 2.69 (-63.75%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players