Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 4162 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.001
+5.26%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.019
-5.5%
In a quarter
$ 0.017
-14.0%
In half a year
$ 0.019
-6.5%
In a year
$ 0.038
+92.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
51% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
696 offers on 5 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop inspecting MP5-SD | Dirt Drop reloading MP5-SD | Dirt Drop holding MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-1 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-2 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.02
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 60
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.019
  • 30 days high: $ 60
  • 30 days price change: 5.26%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.01
  • 90 days high: $ 60
  • Year low: $ 0.006
  • Year high: $ 60
  • All time low: $ 0.006
  • All time high: $ 60
  • All time max offers: 944
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 26
  • Sales for last 7 days: 283
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1620
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3502
  • All time sales: 8699
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.96
  • Volatility: 31.26%
  • Liquidity: 6.31%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.019
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.017
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -14.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.019
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -6.5%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.038
  • Price forecast change in a year: 92.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.019
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.022
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 0.022
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.022
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.003
-13.64%
Result
👎 Fail
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.022
Action
❌ Avoid
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 0.022
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.022
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.003
-13.64%
Result
👎 Fail
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.003
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.04
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
51%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
159 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.71
67%
From last month
315 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) is a battle-worn version of the renowned MP5, which has been put through the most extreme conditions. The integrated silencer gives it a stealthy look, while the black streaks sprayed over the dark base give it a gritty and rugged appearance, reminding you that even a little dirt can have a big impact in the heat of battle.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop was added to CS2's arsenal on September 3rd, 2018, during the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update. It made its debut as a souvenir item in the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package, providing players with a battle-scarred variant that showed the wear and tear of intense battles fought on the iconic map.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Battle-Scarred first entered the realm of CS2 via Souvenir Packages from various containers - namely, the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, the Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and even the Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Moreover, it is proudly part of The 2018 Inferno Collection; hence, a very demandable skin by collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) has become very popular among buyers in the CS2 community, with a popularity rate of 75%. Hence, it is in the top 25% most popular items, which is determined according to its daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) - This is one of those 237 SMG skins existing in CS2. It falls into the consumer-grade category, which does make it a pretty common sight on this game and thus rather obtainable for players.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) skin is the cheapest option for CS2 players, ranging in price from $0.01-$1.31. It's very easy to get your hands on this skin since it's widely available in almost all markets, and there are about 4.4 million units circulating in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) exists in a total of five forms in CS2, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80. For each exterior, there is also a Souvenir version of the Dirt Drop skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) has received very positive community reviews, with over a large number of votes on addskins.gg, yielding an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further exemplified by its ownership among esteemed CS2 professionals such as fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

The following Battle-Scarred Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop has many layers of stenciling, and is in an aggressive "Spray Paint" style. Its predominantly grey coloration provides a particularly worn and weathered texture, and the pattern index greatly influences the overall pattern that is applied to each dirt drop finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.019 (-5.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.017 (-14.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.019 (-6.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.038 (92.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.