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6 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) displays the timeless excellence of the MP5, a legendary SMG that remains unparalleled in versatility and popularity. With a permanently attached suppressor, this variant promises a truly noiseless approach, enhancing the already formidable firepower. The dark base of the weapon is accentuated with spray-painted black streaks, representing the grim reality of combat where dirt may seem harmless, until it becomes a formidable obstacle.
The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop was introduced on September 3rd, 2018, when it entered the world of CS2 as a new part of the arsenal. This skin became highly sought after from the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package, which was released simultaneously with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, to show style and skill in the virtual battlegrounds.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) is an esteemed skin that can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that house it, including Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. It is also one of the distinguished members of the exclusive 2018 Inferno Collection.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) has become highly popular among CS2 players. Currently, it has a popularity rating of 75%, which puts it in the top 25% of the most popular items in the game, based on its daily sales volume and its market price.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. Yet, its rarity is Consumer Grade, which makes it a pretty common skin that players can come across rather frequently while playing the game.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) is a relatively cheap skin, with its price oscillating from $0.01 to $1.31. It's very easy to get your hands on through multiple markets. Currently, there are around 4.4 million units of the Dirt Drop in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) exists in all exteriors in CS2, and its float values range from 0.06 to 0.80, which will surely please collectors and players alike. Moreover, for every exterior, there is an available Souvenir version of the Dirt Drop, adding an extra layer of rarity and exclusivity to the skin.
In fact, the community sentiment towards this CS2 skin, the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New), speaks volumes as it has gathered a rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg with over 4.1K votes. Due to its popularity, fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh have all purchased this skin.
The pattern index of this Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Factory New has given it a truly one-of-a-kind look of wear, with the gray tones smudged together realistically. The stencil patterns really make the overall design deeper in texture and more interesting; this is a pretty good-looking and authentic finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.33 (-2.21%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.31 (-3.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.55 (-59.56%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.05 (50.74%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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