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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) is an extremely popular and versatile SMG. The integrated silencer makes it stealthy-a real covert operations gun. The dark base of the gun is adorned with black streaks, giving it a very rugged and gritty look, reminding us that even a little dirt can have deadly consequences.
The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop debuted in CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, when it was added as part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This update, known as "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch," brought forth a new era of gameplay with the addition of this unique and gritty submachine gun.
Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) This can be obtained from several containers including: Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. It is also featured in The 2018 Inferno Collection.
The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop has quickly become one of the favorite skins in CS2, with an impressive popularity rating of 75%. This puts it in the top tier of the most popular skins in the game, a result of its high demand as judged by its daily sales volume and market price.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Field-Tested is a part of 237 other skins for SMG in CS2. The rarity of the skin is Consumer Grade, which makes the Dirt Drop pretty common to see, thus rather easy to get for players.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) is an affordable skin. It costs from $0.01 to $1.31, which makes it pretty easy for any player. It's available in lots of markets, which means this skin is not hard to buy. It is highly popular: about 4.4 million units of this skin are currently in public CS2 inventories.
In CS2, the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop has a souvenir variant that exists in every exterior. Its float value ranges from 0.06 to 0.80. It is safe to say that regardless of its condition, the Souvenir form of this particular MP5-SD skin will always drop for a player.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Field-Tested skin of CS2 is quite positive, with a very high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on more than 4.1K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further confirmed by its ownership among well-known professional players such as fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh.
This Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) has a "Spray-Paint" style, with paint applied in layers using stencil patterns. The dominant gray color gives it a gritty and weathered look, while the pattern index affects the overall appearance of the Dirt Drop finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.02 (-0.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.019 (-5.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (7.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.043 (117.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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