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8 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) demonstrates the timeless superiority of the MP5, known for its adaptability and widespread appeal. Featuring an integrated suppressor, this variant ensures a stealthy and lethal performance. Its dark base is accentuated by streaks of black spray paint, reminiscent of hidden hazards that lurk beneath the surface.
The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop was released on September 3rd, 2018, to the virtual battlefields of CS2 as part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. The "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update brought fresh blood into the game's arsenal: a sleek and minimalistic MP5-SD with a distinct Dirt Drop skin in Minimal Wear condition.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) was featured in the 2018 Inferno Collection, which makes this skin highly desirable. To get this skin, a player needs to open one of the seven containers that include Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) is in high demand within the CS2 community, with a popularity rating of 75%. That means it is in the top 25% of the most sought-after items in the game, which speaks volumes about its demand and value. Popularity is measured by volume of daily sales and price, so this skin is desirable among collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) is one of 237 other skins for SMG in CS2, making it rather common. Because this skin has a Consumer Grade rarity, this is not very rare to see during gameplay.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) is an affordable skin, which usually costs between $0.01 and $1.31. It is easily available since it can be found on many markets, thus making it easy for players to have in their collection. This skin is very popular, as about 4.4 million units are currently kept in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop-Minimal Wear in CS2 has all possible exteriors, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, hence all kinds of options that may be desired by a player. For each exterior, there is a souvenir version of the Dirt Drop skin, further extending options for customization.
The community sentiment for the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 4.1K votes on addskins.gg. Additionally, its popularity extends to professional players such as fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh, who own the skin.
The Souvenir MP5-SD has a Dirt Drop finish with a spray-painted design using stencil patterns, giving it a gritty and weathered look. The overall gray coloration makes it very realistic, and the pattern index affects the look of the finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.02 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.019 (-5.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (3.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.022 (12.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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