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8 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is the highly sought-after version of the widely known, adaptable, and highly used MP5. Adding a silencer to this new version gives it a pretty stealthy touch in addition to being a formidably deadly weapon. The dark base of the gun has black streaks running across, giving it a signature of dirt marks, which in themselves are unobtrusive and harmless until they become deadly in the right hands.
The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop became one with CS2 when this skin was first presented in the game on September 3rd, 2018. This unique skin appeared alongside a series release, the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package, accompanying the "FACEIT 2018 - Ways to Watch" update, and immediately offered new ways for players to display their style with this very well-worn, yet extremely distinctive MP5-SD.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is a rare skin. It can be obtained opening one of the seven containers that hold the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. This skin belongs to The 2018 Inferno Collection, which may be one of the reasons for its popularity among collectors and CS2 fans in general.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) has a high popularity of 75% among all CS2 skins, placing it in the upper group of the most popular in-game items. Such popularity is possible to calculate, proceeding from the analyzed skin's daily sales volume and its market price, and that fact firmly places this skin in the group of highly desirable items for any collector and enthusiast.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is just a piece of 237 other SKin for the SubMachine Gun in CS2; the rarity of this particular skin is Consumer Grade and hence it's not pretty rare. This particular skin gets frequently seen within gameplay.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is relatively a cheap skin. It can have a price from $0.01 to $1.31. This skin is pretty easy to get because it can be widely found in various markets. Moreover, there are about 4.4 million units of this particular skin circulating among the public inventories of CS2.
The Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) in CS2 has float values that range from 0.06 to 0.80, making it possible for players to get this skin in any exterior condition. Moreover, collectors can have Souvenir versions of the Dirt Drop in every exterior variant.
The community attitude toward this souvenir MP5-SD Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is well-positive, as there are already over 4.1k votes on addsin.com, with the average score being 4.4 out of five stars. This very skin appeared in the arsenal of popular professional CS2 players fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh; hence, the community has received another argument for love toward the skin.
The Dirt Drop finish on this Well-Worn Souvenir MP5-SD sports a spray-painted design, with stencils in shades of gray. The skin's overall appearance is determined by the pattern index, so it has a realistic, worn-out look.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.02 (-1.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.021 (5.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.021 (2.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.045 (125.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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