Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)

4.7 2263 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 3.67
+11.67%
Last month
$ 15.03
+74.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 27.21
-22.54%
In a quarter
$ 21.3
-39.37%
In half a year
$ 29.29
-16.62%
In a year
$ 32.07
-8.71%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
17% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
128 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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from $ 52.99
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis inspecting MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis reloading MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis holding MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis pose-1 MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis pose-2 MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 35.13
  • 24h price change: 0.2855%
  • 7 days low: $ 31.46
  • 7 days high: $ 303
  • 7 days price change: 11.67%
  • 30 days low: $ 20.1
  • 30 days high: $ 350
  • 30 days price change: 74.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 18.16
  • 90 days high: $ 1 113
  • Year low: $ 16.68
  • Year high: $ 3 272
  • All time low: $ 16.68
  • All time high: $ 3 272
  • All time max offers: 131
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 28
  • Sales for last 30 days: 118
  • Sales for last 90 days: 305
  • All time sales: 837
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.68
  • Volatility: 18.0%
  • Liquidity: 11.82%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 27.21
  • Price forecast change in a month: -22.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 21.3
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -39.37%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 29.29
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -16.62%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 32.07
  • Price forecast change in a year: -8.71%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 20.75
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 21.54
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.08
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 23.39
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.23
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.12
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 30.21
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 20.75
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 21.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 20.23
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 21.54
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 21.54
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.08
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 18.16
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 19.04
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 20.45
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 19.73
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.39
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.23
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.12
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 30.21
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 31.46
Action
📉 Sell
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
159 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.71
67%
From last month
315 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Renowned for its unrivaled versatility and widespread acclaim, the Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis stands as an epitome of excellence in the realm of SMGs. It is even more powerful because of its integrated silencer, which makes it a stealthy force to be reckoned with. Adorned in a vibrant orange and teal camouflage pattern, complemented by elegant gold accents, this weapon's visual splendor is a testament to its lethal capabilities, defying expectations with its ability to make a resounding impact while remaining discreet.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis was presented to the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, as one of the most expected additions to the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package. Its sleek design and unique oxide finish quickly became a favorite among players, especially with the release of the "Operation Riptide" update, which added new gameplay features and enhanced the overall experience.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) is a rare skin that can be obtained through the opening of any of the four containers containing it, namely the Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Mirage Collection. This is highly sought after by collectors and players alike because of its unique design and being in pristine condition.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) is highly sought after by CS2 players, with a remarkable popularity rating of 85%. It consistently ranks within the top 15% of the most coveted items in the game, as determined by its impressive daily sales volume and the premium price it commands.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis belongs to the 237 available skins in SMG, meaning this is a rather rare drop from the cases. However, its real name is Classified, and this means that it should be an extremely rare drop - only 3.2 % are estimated to drop straight from the Factory New condition.

Availability

Availability

Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) is a pretty cheap skin, with a price that floats between $7.70 and $384.28. It's widely available in many markets, hence easily accessible to players. There are 22.2K units of it currently in public CS2 inventories, which indicates its popularity among collectors and users.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 0.55, meaning players can find this skin in any variation of the exterior. For each of the exteriors mentioned above, there's also a Souvenir version of the Oxide Oasis, offering more variants for collectors to decide upon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) reached a huge support from more than 2.1K community votes at addskins.gg and the average rating is 4.7 out of 5 stars. It's also popular among professional CS2 players as norwi, jl, and cerq currently have it in their inventories.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis has a "Gunsmith" style, displaying a hypnotizing mix of patina with custom paint applications. The bright orange tint of the skin is dominant in this design, and pattern indexes don't change the mesmerizing Oxide Oasis finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 27.21 (-22.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 21.3 (-39.37%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 29.29 (-16.62%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 32.07 (-8.71%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players