Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New)

4.8 5472 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.5
+5.3%
Last month
$ 1.7
+6.05%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 29.04
-4.54%
In a quarter
$ 29.35
-3.52%
In half a year
$ 33.57
+10.36%
In a year
$ 48.47
+59.34%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
142 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
25 offers
from $ 29.84
White.Market
White.Market
27 offers
from $ 30.51
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
13 offers
from $ 30.72
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
18 offers
from $ 31.58
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 33.33
Skinport
Skinport
12 offers
from $ 39.6
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
11 offers
from $ 44.58
Steam
Steam
25 offers
from $ 45.13
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 48.07
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
3 offers
from $ 53.1
Inspect skin
Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New)
Gallery
MP7 | Fade inspecting MP7 | Fade reloading MP7 | Fade holding MP7 | Fade pose-1 MP7 | Fade pose-2 MP7 | Fade pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 29.81
  • 7 days low: $ 28.31
  • 7 days high: $ 120
  • 7 days price change: 5.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 28.11
  • 30 days high: $ 121
  • 30 days price change: 6.05%
  • 90 days low: $ 26.92
  • 90 days high: $ 121
  • Year low: $ 22.87
  • Year high: $ 160
  • All time low: $ 22.87
  • All time high: $ 217
  • All time max offers: 172
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 26
  • Sales for last 30 days: 82
  • Sales for last 90 days: 168
  • All time sales: 490
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.54
  • Volatility: 19.82%
  • Liquidity: 7.28%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 29.04
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 29.35
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.52%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 33.57
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.36%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 48.47
  • Price forecast change in a year: 59.34%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 29.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.45
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 29.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 29.45
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 29.3
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 28.61
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 25.3
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 28.32
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 28.81
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 26.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 29.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 30.68
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 32.31
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 36.51
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 31.65
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 31.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 28.57
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 29.29
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 29.45
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2013
3421
2717
10968
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 29
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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275%
From last month
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MP7 | Akoben
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4.4 6357
In a year 130%
MP7 | Akoben
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4.4 6393
In a year 135%
MP7 | Akoben
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Factory New
4.4 6499
In a year 61%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP7
Akoben
Field-Tested
$ 0.29
45%
From last month
432 offers on 8 markets
4.4 6470
In a year 125%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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4.4 6394
In a year 128%
MP7 | Akoben
Mil-Spec Grade
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Well-Worn
4.8 2779
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
4.8 2748
In a year 44%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.2
82%
From last month
43 offers on 6 markets
4.8 2776
In a year 46%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Factory New
$ 0.56
40%
From last month
337 offers on 9 markets
4.8 2706
In a quarter -46%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Field-Tested
$ 0.21
133%
From last month
305 offers on 9 markets
4.8 2778
In a year 60%
MP7 | Armor Core
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP7
Armor Core
Minimal Wear
$ 0.4
100%
From last month
178 offers on 8 markets

Description

History

History

The MP7 | Fade first dropped in the CS2 community on September 3rd, 2018, to represent one of the highly sought-after skins that were part of the Inferno Souvenir Package in Paris 2023. This was a very cool-looking skin for a weapon, which dropped along with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update to add some style to serious players' arsenals.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) was added to the game on the 2018 Inferno Collection in CS2. It can only be obtained by opening one of the seven containers that have the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) is highly popular, and for this reason, it attracts a popularity rating of 90%. This high popularity is because of its frequent sales and its high market value, making it one of the most sought-after items in CS2.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP7 | Fade is a relatively uncommon drop, being one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. It holds a moderate level of rarity, with a Restricted rarity classification and an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) is a rather affordable skin, ranging from $5.43 to $36.75, which can be purchased by a lot of players. Additionally, it is easily accessible on various markets, which means players have many places to buy it from. With a substantial count of 95.3K units in public CS2 inventories, obtaining the Fade is highly feasible for collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP7 | Fade ranges from 0.00 to 0.25, allowing players to obtain a Souvenir version of the skin in Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested conditions. This gives collectors and enthusiasts an enormous leeway to show the pattern of the Fade in full glory or with some wear and tear.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) in CS2 enjoys a high positive sentiment from the community, as it had received more than 5.4K votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is also enhanced by ownership from great professional players like s1mple, jasonr, and buster, proving how desirable it is for competitive gamers.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) displays an enchanting "Anodized Airbrushed" design, with the careful imitation of giving a candy coat using freehand airbrush art. The index of the pattern depth for the Fade finish has added beautifully to its look because of its stunning gradient-looking effect, adding depth to this CS2 skin, and making it very appealing to the eyes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP7 | Fade (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 29.04 (-4.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 29.35 (-3.52%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 33.57 (10.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 48.47 (59.34%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.25
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.