Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)

4.5 2845 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 43
+21.61%
Last month
$ 128
+112%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 233
-3.98%
In a quarter
$ 277
+14.15%
In half a year
$ 347
+42.99%
In a year
$ 579
+139.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
72% - Forecast accuracy
72% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
179 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Hot Rod inspecting MP9 | Hot Rod reloading MP9 | Hot Rod holding MP9 | Hot Rod pose-1 MP9 | Hot Rod pose-2 MP9 | Hot Rod pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 242
  • 24h price change: 12.56%
  • 7 days low: $ 199
  • 7 days high: $ 10 000
  • 7 days price change: 21.61%
  • 30 days low: $ 114
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 112%
  • 90 days low: $ 114
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 114
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 65.86
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 218
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 19
  • Sales for last 30 days: 52
  • Sales for last 90 days: 121
  • All time sales: 333
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 6.94
  • Volatility: 12.86%
  • Liquidity: 11.04%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 233
  • Price forecast change in a month: -3.98%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 277
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.15%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 347
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 42.99%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 579
  • Price forecast change in a year: 139.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 215
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 215
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 215
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 255
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 221
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 217
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 220
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 233
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 280
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 293
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 208
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 263
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 245
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 222
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 215
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
72%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

Built in the famous Swiss factories, the Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is a cutting-edge submachine gun that is highly coveted by top-notch security organizations. Its sleek design boasts a lustrous chrome base, accentuated by a mesmerizing transparent red anodized effect paint, evoking a sense of power and sophistication.

History

History

The MP9 | Hot Rod made its debut in the world of CS2 on November 27th, 2013, when it was introduced as part of the Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package. This sleek and stylish SMG quickly became a sought-after item among collectors and players alike, thanks to its unique design and rarity.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod(Factory New) is considered to be a rare in-game skin, which can only be opened by opening 13 containers that contain this particular souvenir skin. These include the following: Atlanta 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Mirage Souvenir Package. In addition, the rarity of this skin is augmented by being part of a popular collection, The Mirage Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, holding a popularity rating of 90%. Its sleek design combined with its rarity makes it one of the most wanted skins by players, hence the high daily sales volume and a quite high price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is one of 237 other skins for SMG in CS2. Still, it has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, meaning this gun is relatively common and appears in drops with an approximate chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) represents a relatively cheap skin as its price fluctuates around $43.27-$53.28. Luckily, this skin is currently widely available and can be found on multiple markets. It has a popularity score of 27.7K units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP9 | Hot Rod ranges from 0.00 to 0.08, allowing players to get Factory New and Minimal Wear versions of this skin. Besides that, one can also find a Souvenir version of the Hot Rod skin in each exterior condition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod Factory New in CS2 is very positive. This is evident from the extremely high average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars from over 2.8K votes on addskins.gg. Additionally, its popularity extends into the professional CS2 world, with renowned players like coldzera, fer, and adren owning this highly popular skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) has an exciting "Anodized" skin as if it is a method for the treatment, applying the bright red candy coat over chrome. The pattern index will not affect the finish in any way; thus, the hot rod effect stays charming.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 233 (-3.98%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 277 (14.15%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 347 (42.99%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 579 (139.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.