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4 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The MP9 SMG is a state-of-the-art, sleek, and very efficient firearm manufactured in Switzerland and greatly demanded by private security organizations. It's adorned with an exquisite gold damask pattern; added to the battlefield, this Music Box edition will lend a touch of elegance and whimsy.
The MP9 | Music Box became part of the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, when it was included within the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package. This souvenir package was released along with the "Operation Riptide" update, which gave players a chance to get this Factory New Souvenir skin with its catchy music-themed design.
The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) is a rare skin that can be obtained by opening one of the four containers that contain the skin, namely the Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Mirage Collection. It is possible for players to get this skin from these containers to add a musical touch of elegance to their MP9 in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive.
Hitting 85% popularity, Souvenir MP9 | Music Box Factory New is among the hottest CS2 skins and is regularly in the top 15% of most sold items. Such popularity is justified by outstandingly great volume of sales day after day and high value at marketplaces.
The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. However, its rarity is Mil-Spec Grade, which is a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) has a relatively cheap price, which ranges from $0.07 to $9.70, thus being in an affordable range for CS2 players. Moreover, it is highly available since it can be bought from any market. One can judge the popularity of this skin from the fact that there are already 191.5K units of the Music Box in public CS2 inventories.
The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) is available in all types of skins, with floats ranging from 0.00 to 0.55. Moreover, each of these external variants independently has a corresponding souvenir version.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, as evidenced by its high rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 2.1K votes on addskins.gg. Additionally, its popularity extends to professional players such as guardian, olofmeister, and qikert, who all own this skin.
This Factory New Souvenir MP9 | Music Box has a very unique "Anodized Multicolored" finish, which displays a vivid candy coat in many colors. The base color of this skin is a rich brown tint, while the skin's appearance may be affected by the pattern index, thus making it visually catchy and realistic.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.85 (-14.14%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.71 (-28.28%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.83 (-16.16%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.181 (-81.73%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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