Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested)

4.7 2292 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.06
+66.67%
Last month
$ 0.1
+200%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.126
-16.0%
In a quarter
$ 0.062
-58.47%
In half a year
$ 0.12
-19.8%
In a year
$ 0.126
-15.93%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
1% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
546 offers on 8 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested)
Gallery
MP9 | Music Box inspecting MP9 | Music Box reloading MP9 | Music Box holding MP9 | Music Box pose-1 MP9 | Music Box pose-2 MP9 | Music Box pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.15
  • 7 days low: $ 0.09
  • 7 days high: $ 18.3
  • 7 days price change: 66.67%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.05
  • 30 days high: $ 18.44
  • 30 days price change: 200%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.03
  • 90 days high: $ 18.53
  • Year low: $ 0.03
  • Year high: $ 18.53
  • All time low: $ 0.03
  • All time high: $ 27.3
  • All time max offers: 1352
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 79
  • Sales for last 7 days: 845
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4847
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7805
  • All time sales: 19043
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.36
  • Volatility: 71.78%
  • Liquidity: 5.03%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.126
  • Price forecast change in a month: -16.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.062
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -58.47%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.12
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -19.8%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.126
  • Price forecast change in a year: -15.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.02
-33.33%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.06
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.02
-33.33%
Result
👎 Fail
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
📉 Sell
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.02
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.06
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
1%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box Field-Tested is a high-end submachine gun manufactured with perfection in Switzerland and adopted by a wide number of private security organizations due to its ergonomic design. Its sleek black polymer frame is adorned with an exquisite gold damask pattern, adding a touch of elegance to its formidable appearance.

History

History

The MP9 | Music Box first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and was obtainable via the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package. This charming SMG came out with the much-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, seducing players with its particular musical motif and field-tested condition.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) is a rare skin and can only be obtained by opening one of the four containers that house it: Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Mirage Collection. This gives the player a chance to get this unique skin, adding a musical touch of elegance to their MP9 in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) has a very high popularity rating in CS2, at 85%. That is due to its consistently high volume of sales on a day-to-day basis, as well as its being relatively high in price, landing it within the top 15% of desirable items in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) is one of the 237 other SMG skins available in CS2. As it is a Mil-Spec Grade skin, its drop is quite common, at an estimated 79.92% drop chance.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) is an extremely cheap skin that costs from $0.07 to $9.70, so it is affordable for most players. Currently, this skin is abundant, and it can be easily found in any market; more than 191.5K units have already found a home in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.55, which means players can get this skin in any exterior. Besides, for each exterior option, there is a corresponding Souvenir version of the MP9 | Music Box available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) in CS2 is extremely positive, with a high average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars based on over 2.1K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further validated by its ownership among renowned professional players such as guardian, olofmeister, and qikert.

Finish style

Finish style

The brown tint of this Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) gives it a vintage and worn-out appearance, reminiscent of an old music box. The multicolored candy coat pattern adds a playful touch, as if the colors were carefully hand-painted onto the surface using silk-screening or stencils, creating a unique and eye-catching design. The pattern index of the Music Box finish determines the position and strength of the colors, so every skin is slightly different and makes it all the more charming.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.126 (-16.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.062 (-58.47%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.12 (-19.8%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.126 (-15.93%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.