Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New)

4.9 5765 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.94
+2.59%
Last month
$ 4.04
+5.54%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 76.8
-0.4278%
In a quarter
$ 79.26
+2.76%
In half a year
$ 84.4
+9.43%
In a year
$ 115
+49.1%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
20 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 76.98
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 80.23
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 80.26
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 80.26
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 81.37
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 83.89
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 105
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 150
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 202
Inspect skin
Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Setting Sun inspecting MP9 | Setting Sun reloading MP9 | Setting Sun holding MP9 | Setting Sun pose-1 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-2 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 76.98
  • 24h price change: 2.59%
  • 7 days low: $ 75.04
  • 7 days high: $ 302
  • 7 days price change: 2.59%
  • 30 days low: $ 72.94
  • 30 days high: $ 680
  • 30 days price change: 5.54%
  • 90 days low: $ 67.17
  • 90 days high: $ 680
  • Year low: $ 54.1
  • Year high: $ 680
  • All time low: $ 46.95
  • All time high: $ 680
  • All time max offers: 33
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6
  • All time sales: 19
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.92
  • Volatility: 7.91%
  • Liquidity: 1.98%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 76.8
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.4278%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 79.26
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.76%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 84.4
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 9.43%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 115
  • Price forecast change in a year: 49.1%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 87.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 87.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 87.6
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 87.6
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 85.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 72.9
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 78.5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 77.54
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 68.85
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 77.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 76.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 69.73
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 88.26
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 78.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 77.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 74.24
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 77.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 72.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 77.29
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 87.6
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New), manufactured in Switzerland, is a highly advanced SMG in demand by many private security firms due to its ergonomic handling. The sleek polymer body is adorned with a quite captivating hydrographic pattern showing a series of nuclear hazard symbols, adding a bit of menace to an otherwise fearsome presence.

History

History

The MP9 | Setting Sun was first added to CS2 on August 13th, 2014, with the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. It became part of the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update and provided it with a classy look with a style that was exclusive.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) can be obtained by opening any of the 12 containers in which this skin is available, including Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package containers. Moreover, it is part of The Cache Collection, hence increasing its exclusivity and desirability among the CS2 gaming fraternity.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) is one of the most popular CS2 skins, holding an astonishing 85% popularity. This puts it within the top 15% of the most desired skins, based on its daily sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Setting Sun belongs to the group of 237 other SMG skins, which makes it an exceptionally common skin in CS2. Having an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, it falls in the category of a Mil-Spec Grade item and thus occurs quite often during the gameplay.

Availability

Availability

Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun Factory New skin in CS2 is a pretty inexpensive addition, with the price fluctuating in the interval between $2.23 to $47.85. Being widely available in various markets, this item is widely accessible to players. This Souvenir skin already occupies roughly 52,000 units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) exists in all other skins, ranging from 0.00 to 1.00 float values, and each of its exterior variants has a corresponding Souvenir version so a collector could find the look that they like while commemorating his or her in-game achievements.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun Factory New in CS2 is simply over the roof, as its rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg shows with over 5.6K votes. Its popularity extends to professional players such as seized, mixwell, and kjaerbye, who proudly own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index for the Setting Sun finish makes this Factory New Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun a very vibrant and distinctive skin, with the orange tint being the leading color in its general coloration. In this finish, the hydrographic technique gives an astonishing effect, as if the weapon parts are submerged in some glowing sunset, which will make it really striking in the eyes of any CS2 player.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 76.8 (-0.4278%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 79.26 (2.76%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 84.4 (9.43%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 115 (49.1%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.