Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear)

4.9 5695 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.98
+12.93%
Last month
$ 4.93
+39.89%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 17.75
+15.94%
In a quarter
$ 16.6
+8.43%
In half a year
$ 18.91
+23.51%
In a year
$ 23.66
+54.54%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
68 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP9 | Setting Sun inspecting MP9 | Setting Sun reloading MP9 | Setting Sun holding MP9 | Setting Sun pose-1 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-2 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 17.29
  • 24h price change: 12.93%
  • 7 days low: $ 15.31
  • 7 days high: $ 293
  • 7 days price change: 12.93%
  • 30 days low: $ 12.36
  • 30 days high: $ 354
  • 30 days price change: 39.89%
  • 90 days low: $ 12.36
  • 90 days high: $ 354
  • Year low: $ 12.36
  • Year high: $ 2 930
  • All time low: $ 11.34
  • All time high: $ 2 930
  • All time max offers: 86
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 27
  • Sales for last 90 days: 71
  • All time sales: 196
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.00310855
  • Volatility: 12.98%
  • Liquidity: 8.31%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 17.75
  • Price forecast change in a month: 15.94%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.6
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 8.43%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 18.91
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 23.51%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 23.66
  • Price forecast change in a year: 54.54%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 19.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.35
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 19.91
Action
✋ Hold
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 19.35
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 18.95
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 18.53
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 17.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.27
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 17.56
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 14.65
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 15.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.36
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 13.49
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 19.91
Action
✋ Hold
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 19.35
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MP9, forged in Switzerland, is an absolute marvel of ergonomic design-a true sweetheart among high-tier private security corporations. A spectacular hydrographic motif adorns the surface: a sequence of nuclear hazard symbols acting like a cold harbinger of imminent dangers to come.

History

History

The MP9 | Setting Sun first appeared in CS2 on August 13th, 2014, when it was introduced as part of the highly anticipated Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package. Due to its striking design and minimal wear condition, this skin instantly became the most popular among players and, therefore, highly demanded in the community.

Origin

Origin

The Minimal Wear MP9 | Setting Sun is an addition to players' inventories when any of the 12 containers, including Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package, are opened. Additionally, it is part of The Cache Collection, adding to the popularity of skins among CS2 gamers.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular skins in the CS2 universe, with an appreciation rate of 85%. For its daily sales volume and price in the market, it holds a spot in the top 15% of the most wanted items.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Setting Sun is a relatively average drop, falling in the middle of 237 other SMG skins. The Mil-Spec Grade of rarity makes it relatively common, boasting an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) is an affordable skin, as its price is between $2.23 and $47.85, thus being within the means of many players. It is currently abundant in the market, with several platforms offering it for purchase, and there are around 52,000 units of the Setting Sun skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

A somewhat popular CS2 skin, Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) has a range of 0.07 - 0.15 in float value, which corresponds with its exterior being Minimal Wear. A collector can obtain this form of the skin for all types of exteriors. Thus, a Souvenir Setting Sun MP9 might have Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or even Battle-Scarred appearance.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is extremely positive, with a rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on over 5.6K votes on addskins.gg. It is also highly regarded by professional players such as seized, mixwell, and kjaerbye, who own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The pattern index of the Setting Sun finish on this MP9 showcases a mesmerizing blend of vibrant oranges, creating a stunning sunset-like appearance. The hydrographic technique used to apply this finish gives the weapon a smooth and glossy texture, enhancing its overall visual appeal.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 17.75 (15.94%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 16.6 (8.43%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 18.91 (23.51%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 23.66 (54.54%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.