Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn)

4.9 5636 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.69
+12.9%
Last month
$ 1.35
+28.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.67
-23.79%
In a quarter
$ 6.65
-10.62%
In half a year
$ 8.21
+10.35%
In a year
$ 13.02
+75.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
39 offers on 7 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
8 offers
from $ 6.16
Steam
Steam
18 offers
from $ 7.41
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
2 offers
from $ 8.83
Skinport
Skinport
5 offers
from $ 11.69
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 13.56
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 14.5
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 14.52
Inspect skin
Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP9 | Setting Sun inspecting MP9 | Setting Sun reloading MP9 | Setting Sun holding MP9 | Setting Sun pose-1 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-2 MP9 | Setting Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 6.04
  • 24h price change: 2.2%
  • 7 days low: $ 5.35
  • 7 days high: $ 539
  • 7 days price change: 12.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.69
  • 30 days high: $ 543
  • 30 days price change: 28.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.69
  • 90 days high: $ 545
  • Year low: $ 3.21
  • Year high: $ 545
  • All time low: $ 2.8
  • All time high: $ 545
  • All time max offers: 136
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 26
  • Sales for last 30 days: 59
  • Sales for last 90 days: 134
  • All time sales: 346
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 5.63
  • Volatility: 13.87%
  • Liquidity: 7.71%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.67
  • Price forecast change in a month: -23.79%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 6.65
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -10.62%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.21
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.35%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.02
  • Price forecast change in a year: 75.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.76
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.76
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.24
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 7.32
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.89
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.21
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.08
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.18
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.35
Action
🔥 Buy
September 29, 2025
Price
$ 5.94
Action
🔥 Buy
October 7, 2025
Price
$ 5.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 4.69
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 5.43
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 7.61
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.76
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MP9 SMG is a cutting-edge, polymer firearm of choice for private security organizations, handcrafted in Switzerland. Its well-worn appearance is accentuated by a hydrographic design depicting a striking array of nuclear hazard symbols, serving as a haunting reminder of the dangers lurking in the shadows.

History

History

The MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) first appeared among CS2 players on August 13th, 2014. It was part of the Katowice 2019 Cache Souvenir Package and was introduced with the "ESL One Cologne 2014" update, which quickly gained popularity with its war-torn appearance and an energetic sunset pattern.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) was released in The Cache Collection and could be obtained by opening a single container that had the skin, among other options, including Atlanta 2017 Cache Souvenir Package Container, Boston 2018 Cache Souvenir Package Container, or Cologne 2016 Cache Souvenir Package Container, for a total of 12 different containers in existence. Players were able to get this skin from one of these containers, giving them a hint of rarity in their inventory.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) is very popular, with 85% popularity in the CS2 community, placing it among the most sought-after items within the game. It is highly in demand due to its pleasing design and its well-worn status.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This skin is a relatively common drop because it has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity classification and an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) is a budget-friendly skin, priced between $2.23 and $47.85. It is easily accessible as it is widely available on various markets, making it a popular choice among players. With a substantial quantity of 52K units currently in public CS2 inventories, obtaining this skin should not pose a significant challenge.

Versions

Versions

The wear of the Well-Worn Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun is from 0.38 to 0.45, so it has some scratches and a faded design. It still keeps its orange-yellow color, making this skin one of the most desirable Souvenir skins among collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community Sentiment: The Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) holds a very positive sentiment among the CS2 community, with an astonishingly high number of votes and a stunning average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further bolstered by its ownership by renowned professional players such as seized, mixwell, and kjaerbye.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun has a hydrographic pattern, where the disassembled weapon parts are dunked in a water tank with a floating film that sticks to them, creating an interesting pattern. The predominant color of this skin is an attractive orange hue, and the overall appearance of the Setting Sun finish may vary depending on its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 5.67 (-23.79%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 6.65 (-10.62%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.21 (10.35%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.02 (75.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.