Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New)

4.4 8283 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 205
+2.5%
In a quarter
$ 237
+18.5%
In half a year
$ 288
+44.0%
In a year
$ 555
+178.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
5 offers on 3 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 200
Steam
Steam
3 offers
from $ 238
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 374
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Candy Apple inspecting Nova | Candy Apple reloading Nova | Candy Apple holding Nova | Candy Apple pose-1 Nova | Candy Apple pose-2 Nova | Candy Apple pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 200
  • 7 days low: $ 200
  • 7 days high: $ 374
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 200
  • 30 days high: $ 374
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 199
  • 90 days high: $ 374
  • Year low: $ 117
  • Year high: $ 38 406
  • All time low: $ 117
  • All time high: $ 38 406
  • All time max offers: 11
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 8
  • All time sales: 13
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 9.61
  • Volatility: 9.35%
  • Liquidity: 1.57%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 205
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 237
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 18.5%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 288
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 44.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 555
  • Price forecast change in a year: 178.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 160
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 240
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 205
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 240
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 240
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 210
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 220
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 220
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 215
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 240
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple-Factory New is the cheaper variation for teams that like to surprise their opponents. Sleek, with solid red and black spray-painted colors, this Candy Apple-named skin makes a very nice addition to an arsenal.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) was introduced in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, as part of the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. This popular skin was released with the "Out with the old, in with the new" update and added a splash of bright red to players' arsenals.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) is one of the rarest skins that could be only opened by a DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or an EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package container. As a consequence, this is the very skin which will make many collectors drool. In addition, it also forms part of the Italy Collection, thereby giving it immense value and prestige within the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) is highly sought after; its popularity rating is 85%. This puts it in the upper echelon of the most desirable items in CS2, as determined by its consistent daily sales volume and its relatively high price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins available in CS2, making it a fairly common find. With its Industrial Grade rarity, this is not hard to get skin, and players may come across this skin quite frequently.

Availability

Availability

Falling to the more budgetary segment is the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New); the price of this CS2 skin goes from $0.07-$103.42, very low and highly accessible in many markets, which can provide easy access for players wanting to have it in their inventory. Moreover, having 2.4 million units of the Candy Apple skin in public CS2 inventories, this skin keeps being one of the widely used skins by players.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple ranges from 0.00 to 0.30, which enables players to get Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested variations of the skin. Correspondingly, for each given exterior condition, there's a corresponding Souvenir variety of the Candy Apple.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple Factory New has a very positive community sentiment in CS2. It has a huge amount of votes and a great rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further validated by its ownership among notable professional players like flamie, aizy, and get_right.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Souvenir Nova features a "Solid Color" finish style, a bright and bold Candy Apple. The base color consists of up to four shades; the rest of the skins have this striking red tint on different pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 205 (2.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 237 (18.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 288 (44.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 555 (178.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.3
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.