Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)

4.4 8112 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 13.93
+15.13%
Last month
$ 28.88
+37.45%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 102
-3.97%
In a quarter
$ 111
+4.5%
In half a year
$ 130
+22.39%
In a year
$ 191
+79.82%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
69% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
13 offers on 6 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 106
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 123
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 155
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 155
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 155
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 1 171
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Candy Apple inspecting Nova | Candy Apple reloading Nova | Candy Apple holding Nova | Candy Apple pose-1 Nova | Candy Apple pose-2 Nova | Candy Apple pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 106
  • 7 days low: $ 92.07
  • 7 days high: $ 1 171
  • 7 days price change: 15.13%
  • 30 days low: $ 77.12
  • 30 days high: $ 1 180
  • 30 days price change: 37.45%
  • 90 days low: $ 71.66
  • 90 days high: $ 1 186
  • Year low: $ 66.46
  • Year high: $ 1 186
  • All time low: $ 46.81
  • All time high: $ 1 186
  • All time max offers: 14
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 7
  • Sales for last 90 days: 18
  • All time sales: 36
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.87
  • Volatility: 10.21%
  • Liquidity: 4.62%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 102
  • Price forecast change in a month: -3.97%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 111
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 4.5%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 130
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 22.39%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 191
  • Price forecast change in a year: 79.82%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 85.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 85.56
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 21.99
25.70%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 108
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 85.56
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 85.56
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 85
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 85
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 21.99
25.70%
Result
👍 Success
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 108
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 109
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 106
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 100
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 80
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 108
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 73.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 107
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 107
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 101
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 106
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 21.99
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 193
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
69%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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46%
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141 offers on 8 markets
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34 offers on 8 markets
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In a year 66%
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Well-Worn
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) is more affordable and is meant for teams that like to catch their opponents off guard. The color scheme of this weapon, sleek red and black, makes it a noticeable asset on the battlefield for style and performance.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) made its debut in the CS2 community on November 27th, 2013, during the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package release. This update aimed to refresh the game with new content and features, bringing excitement to players who eagerly anticipated the arrival of this vibrant and eye-catching skin.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) was presented to the CS2 community through the DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package and the container of EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, giving players a chance to get this vivid skin. Moreover, it became a worthy part of The Italy Collection, which boosted its popularity among collectors and enthusiasts alike.

Popularity

Popularity

Being 85% popular, Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) stands among the top 15% of the most popular CS2 items. The popularity measure considers its daily sales volume and market price for the item, which reflects the demand for it among collectors and players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. It falls under the Industrial Grade rarity category, which puts it as a rather common sight within the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) is an affordable skin and costs in a range of $0.07-$103.42. The skin is easy to get because it's widely available in more than a few CS2 markets. Besides, there's a substantial amount of 2.4 million units of the Candy Apple skin available in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range of the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) in CS2 is from 0.00 to 0.30, which allows receiving Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested conditions. Moreover, a collector can get a souvenir form of the Candy Apple skin in each of these exteriors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

From community sentiment, Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple is on a high note among fans since it has accumulated around lots of votes and got 4.4 out of 5-star ratings on addskins.gg. Its popularity: Owned by famous pro-players like flamie, aizy, and get_right.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) is a modern "Solid Color" style, painted with a candy apple tint. The rest of the components have been painted with up to four other colors and then meticulously assembled. The resulting Candy Apple finish is flawless and doesn't depend on pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 102 (-3.97%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 111 (4.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 130 (22.39%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 191 (79.82%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.3
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.