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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) is a more economic solution for teams on a tight budget, offering a decent ambush weapon. The interweaving pipes create an industrial aesthetic in this grayscaled hydrographic pattern. Its well-worn exterior and each shot fired work to shape the rounds within, making it as effective as possible.
The Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) appeared on September 3rd, 2018, as a part of the CS2 world and initially in the Paris 2023 Nuke Souvenir Package. This shotgun's elegant appearance was added together with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update and opened one more brilliant and one of the most desired options for players to skin their weapon.
The Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) is a highly sought-after skin and can be obtained by opening one of the seven containers featuring this skin, such as Antwerp 2022 Nuke Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package, or Katowice 2019 Nuke Souvenir Package. Additionally, it is included in The 2018 Nuke Collection, thus it is highly valuable and quite rare in the CS2 community.
The Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) boasts a popularity of 75% in the CS2 community and has always been in the top 25% of the most popular items. This is due to its high frequency of sales and the relatively high price it fetches in the market.
The Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2 and falls in the category of Consumer Grade, which puts it into the fairly common category; hence, it can be easily acquired by players.
Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) is the most affordable skin, costing within the range of $0.01-$0.07, which will go well with players who are on a tight budget. It is also relatively easy to get since it is widely available across several markets. Indeed, with up to 4.3 million units of the Mandrel available in public CS2 inventories, there is abundant possibility for players to have this skin.
The float value of the Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, making it available in all skins. Moreover, a souvenir version of the Mandrel can also be obtained in each variation of exterior.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) in CS2 is really positive, as more than 1.9K votes on addskins.gg resulted in an impressive average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. It's also popular enough to be owned by such pros as flusha and s1mple.
The Mandrel finish on this Well-Worn Souvenir Nova shows off a hydrographic technique that involves delicately dunking the parts of the weapon into a water tank containing a floating film. As the film sticks to the primed surface, it forms a striking pattern dominated by gray hues. Overall, the look of the Mandrel finish can be different depending on the pattern index, which introduces an element of surprise in this realistic and stylish skin.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Mandrel (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.042 (-53.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.055 (-39.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.07 (-22.56%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.056 (-38.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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