Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New)

4.9 6187 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.31
+2.32%
Last month
$ 2.74
+25.02%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 12.83
-4.33%
In a quarter
$ 12.11
-9.69%
In half a year
$ 12.65
-5.67%
In a year
$ 27.73
+107.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
19 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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1 offers
from $ 13.69
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Steam
7 offers
from $ 13.8
Lis-skins
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1 offers
from $ 14.26
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 14.28
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 14.28
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 14.51
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 14.51
Skinport
Skinport
5 offers
from $ 16.38
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Polar Mesh inspecting Nova | Polar Mesh reloading Nova | Polar Mesh holding Nova | Polar Mesh pose-1 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-2 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 13.69
  • 24h price change: 2.16%
  • 7 days low: $ 13.38
  • 7 days high: $ 151
  • 7 days price change: 2.32%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.95
  • 30 days high: $ 152
  • 30 days price change: 25.02%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.41
  • 90 days high: $ 152
  • Year low: $ 5.14
  • Year high: $ 509
  • All time low: $ 5.14
  • All time high: $ 509
  • All time max offers: 26
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 4
  • Sales for last 30 days: 13
  • Sales for last 90 days: 35
  • All time sales: 71
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.95
  • Volatility: 9.64%
  • Liquidity: 2.63%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 12.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.33%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 12.11
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.69%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 12.65
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -5.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 27.73
  • Price forecast change in a year: 107.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 16.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.42
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.23
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.19
-1.16%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.11
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 16.42
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.79
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.35
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.23
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.19
-1.16%
Result
👎 Fail
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.11
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.04
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.62
Action
🔥 Buy
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 13.61
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 13.81
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.49
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 13.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 12.63
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.78
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.95
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 13.41
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.19
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 26.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) can be a pretty cheap and trusty ambush weapon for a tight budget team. The design features a pattern spray-painted in mesh fence and cardboard cutout inspirations, making this gun versatile and raw, be it in the forest or in the streets of Dust II.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) was added to CS2 on November 27th, 2013, and immediately won the hearts of players. It gained widespread popularity when it was released in the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package as part of a key update that breathed fresh life into the game.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) is a rare skin, and to get it, one has to open any of the 10 containers that contain the skin, including the Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package, the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, and the Boston 2018 Train Souvenir Package. This is also part of The Train Collection, adding to its rarity and desirability by CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) has a popularity of 75%. For this reason, it is considered one of the better in-game commodities, as it stands among the top 25% of the most popular items in the game, based on its daily sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. This skin is classified as Consumer Grade, which makes it a rather common drop and one that players can encounter often.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) skin is cheap, and its price ranges from $0.01 to $4.84, which is quite affordable for players. It's also highly available since it can be present in markets, hence meaning that it's easy for players to get. Besides, as of the current information, 6.2 million units of the Polar Mesh skin are available in public CS2 inventories, hence making it highly available for the players to get.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh Factory New is available in all of the exteriors in CS2, with the float value ranging from 0.06 to 0.80 for all of them, so a pretty realistic presentation of wear can be shown. Moreover, a player can get a Souvenir version of the Polar Mesh in each exterior, making it even more collectible and unique.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Being included in the CS2 gaming community, the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) has received much praise since it has achieved 6K votes on addskins dot com with an outstanding vote average of 4.9 /5 stars. Moreover, these CS2 skins have turned out to be the assets among professional players, such as Happy and Allu, whose personal inventory includes this skin as well.

Finish style

Finish style

Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh Factory New With the most laborious Spray-Paint style, the weapon would have on it complex patterns painted by multilayered stencils; the grey skin base turns in thanks to a pattern index-a very nice-looking and exotic Polar Mesh skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 12.83 (-4.33%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 12.11 (-9.69%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 12.65 (-5.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 27.73 (107.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players