Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear)

4.9 6125 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.04
+6.67%
Last month
$ 0.17
+36.17%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.6
-15.49%
In a quarter
$ 0.58
-18.31%
In half a year
$ 0.61
-14.08%
In a year
$ 0.65
-8.45%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
121 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
73 offers
from $ 0.64
Bitskins
Bitskins
6 offers
from $ 0.71
Skinport
Skinport
33 offers
from $ 1.29
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 1.56
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 1.62
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 1.63
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 1.64
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
2 offers
from $ 1.64
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Polar Mesh inspecting Nova | Polar Mesh reloading Nova | Polar Mesh holding Nova | Polar Mesh pose-1 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-2 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.64
  • 7 days low: $ 0.6
  • 7 days high: $ 73.81
  • 7 days price change: 6.67%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.47
  • 30 days high: $ 73.81
  • 30 days price change: 36.17%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.41
  • 90 days high: $ 73.81
  • Year low: $ 0.29
  • Year high: $ 202
  • All time low: $ 0.29
  • All time high: $ 202
  • All time max offers: 196
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 33
  • Sales for last 30 days: 104
  • Sales for last 90 days: 251
  • All time sales: 668
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.3991
  • Volatility: 15.58%
  • Liquidity: 10.17%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.6
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.49%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -18.31%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.61
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -14.08%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.65
  • Price forecast change in a year: -8.45%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
📉 Sell
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.57
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.36
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.387
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.416
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.41
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
📉 Sell
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.61
Action
📉 Sell
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.65
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.57
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.47
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.71
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.82
46%
From last month
144 offers on 7 markets
4.7 2753
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
4.7 2670
In a year 57%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Factory New
4.7 2610
In a year 59%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Field-Tested
$ 96.03 $ 1 873
5 offers on 2 markets
4.7 2623
In a year 90%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Minimal Wear
4.7 2632
In a year 226%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Well-Worn
4.5 7621
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
4.5 7798
In a year 120%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Battle-Scarred
$ 14.36
38%
From last week
12 offers on 6 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
31 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7739
In a year 98%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Minimal Wear
4.5 7651
In a year 74%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.66 $ 35.54
14 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) allows teams with tight budgets to still have a cheap, yet reliable, ambush weapon. The design has been painted using a mesh fencing and cardboard cutout-inspired spray-painted pattern. This makes for a very versatile and adaptive piece, reflecting the predatory nature of its owner.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) first landed in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, with the release of the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package. This update changed things in the game and introduced new content and features, bringing a whole wave of freshness with itself.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) is a high-demand skin and can be obtained through opening one of its 10 containers, including an Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package, a Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, and a Boston 2018 Train Souvenir Package. In addition, the skin is a part of The Train Collection, which explains why CS2 gamers desire this particular skin the most.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) is one of the most in-demand items within the CS2 community, bearing a popularity rating of 75% and holding its place in the top 25% of the most valuable in-game items. Its popularity is calculated by a formula that takes into account the skin's daily sales volume and its market price, therefore reflecting high demand and appreciation among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. Given its Consumer Grade rarity, this skin is relatively common and players get to see it often when playing the game.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) skin is pretty cheap. It costs in a range of $0.01-$4.84, depending on the market. Because it's available on several markets, it's relatively easy to get your hands on. Moreover, there are 6.2 million units of the Polar Mesh skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which makes the skin obtainable in all conditions. On top of that, every exterior has a corresponding souvenir variant, making it possible for collectors to acquire a memento from particular in-game events.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) has gained community approval, with over 6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is not just in the community as CS2 pro players, happy and allu proudly own this skin in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) in CS2 showcases a spray-painted design featuring stencil patterns, with a predominant color scheme of various shades of gray. The appearance of the Polar Mesh finish is influenced by its pattern index, adding a unique touch to this weapon skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Polar Mesh (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.6 (-15.49%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.58 (-18.31%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.61 (-14.08%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.65 (-8.45%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players