Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn)

4.9 1217 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.14
+200%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.208
-1.06%
In a quarter
$ 0.215
+2.48%
In half a year
$ 0.207
-1.58%
In a year
$ 0.17
-19.12%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
55% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
69 offers on 6 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Quick Sand inspecting Nova | Quick Sand reloading Nova | Quick Sand holding Nova | Quick Sand pose-1 Nova | Quick Sand pose-2 Nova | Quick Sand pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.21
  • 7 days low: $ 0.21
  • 7 days high: $ 8.59
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.07
  • 30 days high: $ 8.59
  • 30 days price change: 200%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.07
  • 90 days high: $ 8.59
  • Year low: $ 0.07
  • Year high: $ 16.1
  • All time low: $ 0.07
  • All time high: $ 16.1
  • All time max offers: 181
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 64
  • Sales for last 30 days: 258
  • Sales for last 90 days: 529
  • All time sales: 1281
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2429
  • Volatility: 30.81%
  • Liquidity: 7.83%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.208
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.06%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.215
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.48%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.207
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -1.58%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.17
  • Price forecast change in a year: -19.12%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.05
-35.71%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.09
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.06
66.67%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
❌ Avoid
November 8, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.14
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.16
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.124
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.05
-35.71%
Result
👎 Fail
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.09
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.06
66.67%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
📉 Sell
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
❌ Avoid
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.01
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
55%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
$ 18.77 $ 35.54
16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is cheap, providing a cheap alternative to teams with modest budgets and looking to surprise opponents. Its stock and receiver have a very amazing tan and blue hydrographic pattern and the barrel is painted a deep blue. In looks alone, it is satisfactory enough to bring any wielder relief and satisfaction.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021. This striking shotgun skin was released as a part of the highly anticipated Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, simultaneously with the "Operation Riptide" update, which introduced players to a thrilling tropical-themed experience.

Origin

Origin

Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is a rare skin and could be dropped when the case was opened for Antwerp 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, or Stockholm 2021 Dust II Souvenir Package. Such an already particular skin belongs to a collection named "2021 Dust 2 Collection" which raises its rarity and cost even higher.

Popularity

Popularity

With an 85% popularity, the Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is one of the most desired items in the CS2 community, ranking in the top 15% of the most popular items. This demand is reflected in its daily sales volume and the skin's price, making it a desirable choice for collectors and players alike.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other skins in CS2 that belongs to the shotgun category. It features a Mil-Spec Grade, making it relatively common; the drop chance is estimated at 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is of very cheap price in CS2, starting from $0.12 and not reaching more than $17.85. It is rather widely available on markets such as Skinport, so getting it won't cause much trouble. Furthermore, there are 110.9K units of this very skin in public CS2 inventories right now, which speaks to some extent about the skin popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, ensuring that this skin is accessible in all conditions. Moreover, a Souvenir version of the Quick Sand in each exterior allows players to get it in every available option to add to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Souvenir Nova Quick Sand (Well-Worn) in CS2 has very positive community sentiments. It received an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on more than 1.1K votes on addskins.gg. Furthermore, this skin is popular among pro CS2 players: grim, sdy, and vini have it in their inventories.

Finish style

Finish style

This Well-Worn Souvenir Nova features a Hydrographic style with its Quick Sand finish. Disassembled weapon parts are carefully dipped into a floating hydrographic film on the surface of a water tank, which clings to the primed parts and forms a compelling pattern mostly in shades of gray. The pattern index determines the overall appearance of the Quick Sand finish, which makes this Nova unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Quick Sand (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.208 (-1.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.215 (2.48%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.207 (-1.58%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.17 (-19.12%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players