Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)

4.8 3281 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 10.13
+80.78%
Last month
$ 10.13
+80.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 16.75
-26.11%
In a quarter
$ 19.18
-15.39%
In half a year
$ 19.41
-14.38%
In a year
$ 30.73
+35.55%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
7 offers on 2 markets
Updated20 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 22.67
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 30.83
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Sand Dune inspecting Nova | Sand Dune reloading Nova | Sand Dune holding Nova | Sand Dune pose-1 Nova | Sand Dune pose-2 Nova | Sand Dune pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 22.67
  • 24h price change: 27.36%
  • 7 days low: $ 12.54
  • 7 days high: $ 35.85
  • 7 days price change: 80.78%
  • 30 days low: $ 12.54
  • 30 days high: $ 261
  • 30 days price change: 80.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 12.54
  • 90 days high: $ 263
  • Year low: $ 10.82
  • Year high: $ 263
  • All time low: $ 9.29
  • All time high: $ 263
  • All time max offers: 16
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4
  • All time sales: 11
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 4.35
  • Volatility: 7.73%
  • Liquidity: 2.67%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 16.75
  • Price forecast change in a month: -26.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.18
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -15.39%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 19.41
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -14.38%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 30.73
  • Price forecast change in a year: 35.55%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 17.21
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.78
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.11
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 21.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.05
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 21
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 17.21
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.78
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.11
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 20.69
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 19.1
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 19.11
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 22.57
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.25
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 21.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.05
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.87
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 12.54
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price
$ 17.8
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 21.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.82
46%
From last month
144 offers on 7 markets
4.7 2753
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
4.7 2670
In a year 57%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Factory New
4.7 2610
In a year 59%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Field-Tested
$ 96.03 $ 1 873
5 offers on 2 markets
4.7 2623
In a year 90%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Minimal Wear
4.7 2632
In a year 226%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Well-Worn
4.5 7621
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
4.5 7798
In a year 120%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Battle-Scarred
$ 14.36
38%
From last week
12 offers on 6 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
31 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7739
In a year 98%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Minimal Wear
4.5 7651
In a year 74%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.66 $ 35.54
14 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) offers a budget-friendly option for teams on a tight budget, providing a reliable ambush weapon. Its sleek design showcases a sand dune color scheme with solid colors spray-painted on individual parts.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune dropped into the CS2 scene on November 27th, 2013, during one of the most critical releases, the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package update, which brought so many exciting changes to the game. This skin gained prestige among players because of its unique pattern featuring sand dunes and also became a nostalgic artifact of how CS2 was played in the early days.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) was added as one of the possible items rewarded to players who opened either a DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or an EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package container. This skin also belongs to the Italy Collection, making it even more exclusive and highly demanded by collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is pretty popular. It has acquired 75% popularity, meaning this souvenir skin belongs to the top 25% of most popular items within the game. This judgment is made upon its continuous volume in sales every day, alongside a relatively high current market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. It features a Consumer Grade rarity, making this skin quite common and possible to come across often.

Availability

Availability

Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is a rather cheap skin, having the minimal price of $0.01 and the max of $416.11. It's highly available in lots of markets, which means it's pretty easy to be added to any collection. Currently, this skin is in 6.9 million units in public CS2 inventories, making it one of the most widespread skins in the game.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Sand Dune ranges from 0.06 to 0.80 in Minimal Wear condition, which means this skin is available in all exteriors. There is also a Souvenir version for each exterior of the Sand Dune, offering collectors an extremely rare variant to add to their collection.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is viewed very positively in the CS2 community, having more than 3.2K votes on addskins.gg and averaging 4.8 out of 5 stars. That this skin is popular can be further demonstrated by the fact that it is owned by famous professional CS2 players olofmeister and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

This Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) features a "Solid Color" style with a dominant grayish tint. The gun parts have been painted in various shades of gray, ranging up to four different tones of the color, before the gun was put back together and finished in a sleek and monochromatic fashion. The pattern indexes do not influence the Sand Dune skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 16.75 (-26.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 19.18 (-15.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 19.41 (-14.38%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 30.73 (35.55%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.