Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)

4.8 3294 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.24
+0.97%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 25.85
+3.4%
In a quarter
$ 30.08
+20.32%
In half a year
$ 35.03
+40.12%
In a year
$ 43.98
+75.92%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
11 offers on 4 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 25
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 42.75
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 66.57
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 217
Inspect skin
Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Sand Dune inspecting Nova | Sand Dune reloading Nova | Sand Dune holding Nova | Sand Dune pose-1 Nova | Sand Dune pose-2 Nova | Sand Dune pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 25
  • 7 days low: $ 25
  • 7 days high: $ 293
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 24.76
  • 30 days high: $ 295
  • 30 days price change: 0.97%
  • 90 days low: $ 17.76
  • 90 days high: $ 296
  • Year low: $ 13.42
  • Year high: $ 3 796
  • All time low: $ 9.39
  • All time high: $ 3 796
  • All time max offers: 15
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2
  • Sales for last 90 days: 9
  • All time sales: 20
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 5.34
  • Volatility: 9.15%
  • Liquidity: 2.85%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 25.85
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.4%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 30.08
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 20.32%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 35.03
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 40.12%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 43.98
  • Price forecast change in a year: 75.92%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 28.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 28.49
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 28.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 28.49
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 28.45
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 28.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 20.81
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.49
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 23.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 23.67
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 26
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 18
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 18.11
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 26
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 25.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 25.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.5
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 24.76
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 43.15
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 25
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 28.49
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is a more economic solution for teams on a tight budget, offering a reliable ambush weapon. The color scheme in sand dune features solid colors applied by spray paint on the individual parts, giving the gun a rugged and gritty appearance that can blend well in desert environments.

History

History

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) was released during November 27th, 2013, and was an integral part of one of the most long-awaited releases in the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package titled "Out with the old, in with the new," which was released over a game-changing update for CS2.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) skin was added to the CS2 community via the DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package and EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package containers, making it a very rare and highly sought-after skin. It is also part of the exclusive Italy Collection, which adds to its desirability among collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 75%, the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) holds a respectable place among the most popular items in CS2, within the top 25% of the popularity scale. This skin's popularity is determined by its daily sales volume and market value, which is indicative of how well-liked the skin is among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other shotgun skins that feature in CS2. This skin belongs to the Consumer Grade rarity, and hence, is pretty common and can be frequently seen during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

In summary, Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) features some really impressive numbers, starting at $0.01 and reaching up to $416.11 as of this writing. The Skin of Well-Worn rarity is also well-accessible to most players via the open market, ensuring a very approachable yet not too rare commodity within the player community. Now, there are around 6.9 million units of this skin present in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, covering all possible wear conditions. Besides, for every exterior of the Sand Dune skin, there is a Souvenir edition, meaning this skin is available in all possible forms.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) has collected very positive community feedback - with more than 3.2K votes on addsikns.com, the skin has an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is reinforced by the fact that this skin is in the inventories of popular professional CS2 players like olofmeister and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn is available with the "Solid Color" style, with up to four different hues used in its various parts. For this particular version, however, a suite of striking gray tones dominates the color profile, though pattern indexes don't affect the Sand Dune finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 25.85 (3.4%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 30.08 (20.32%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 35.03 (40.12%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 43.98 (75.92%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.