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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Well-Worn Nova | Sobek's Bite was added to CS2 on April 24th, 2023, as part of the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package during the "Anubis Skins" update. This elaborately designed skin was created by the talented community designer, apel8, and quickly became one of the most sought-after items among collectors and players alike.
The Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite, worn out, can be either obtained from an opened container of Anubis Collection Package or from the Paris 2023 Anubis Souvenir Package. This skin belongs to the Anubis Collection and features Egyptian-inspired engravings on its body along with signs of wear and tear, giving it a touch of being from an ancient civilization.
The Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) skin enjoys an incredible popularity rating of 95%, which currently puts this skin among the highest-sought items in CS2. This is clearly a result of its high sales volume on a daily basis, while its price has always been above average among others in the market.
The Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. The skin has a restricted rarity, which makes it pretty rare; the drop chance is estimated at 15.98%.
The Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) is rather an affordable skin, from $4.34 to $40.01, which is in a wide range. This skin is relatively easy to get because it's available on many markets. That's why getting this skin to your collection won't be a problem for any player. Besides, there's a huge amount of 15.8K units of the Sobek's Bite in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Well-Worn Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, showcasing noticeable wear and tear on the weapon's surface. With a variety of exteriors available, players can collect Souvenir versions of the Sobek's Bite in Well-Worn condition, each bearing unique wear patterns and scratches.
The community sentiment in CS2 about Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) is overwhelmingly positive. The fact that it had an average rating of 4.8 out of 5-star ratings with up to 267 votes at addskins.gg shows it. It was also good that the owners of this skin were pro-players, which would raise its prestige in the CS2 community even higher: snax, jt, and m0nesy.
This Souvenir Nova has been heavily used, boasting a "Gunsmith" style; the enticing Sobek's Bite finish conveys the shocking beauty of patina paired with professional and detailed application of various paint styles. The appearance of the skin is very intriguing, without depending on the pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 2.54 (-23.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.43 (-27.25%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 2.65 (-20.66%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 2.8 (-16.17%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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